Darline Graham, appointed interim senator after her brother Lindsey Graham’s July 2026 death, faced Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 Republican runoff to secure the party nomination for the safely Republican South Carolina seat. Trump’s early endorsement, Myrtle Beach rally, and MAGA Inc. super PAC spending exceeding $827,000 on voter outreach proved decisive in overcoming Graham’s limited prior elected experience and a debated foreign-policy stumble. She finished first in the August 11 special primary with roughly 33 percent, advancing to the runoff where she secured 52.5 percent to Norman’s 47.5 percent across nearly all precincts. The narrow margin reflected divided conservative support despite Graham’s name recognition and temporary incumbency advantage. The general election against Democrat Annie Andrews follows on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,124 Vol.
2026/08/25
30%以上
はい
40％以上
はい
≥45％
はい
50％以上
はい
≥55％
いいえ
60%以上
いいえ
65%以上
いいえ
75%以上
いいえ
≥85％
いいえ
$18,124 Vol.
30%以上
$3,065 Vol.
はい
40％以上
$3,014 Vol.
はい
≥45％
$2,885 Vol.
はい
50％以上
$5,258 Vol.
はい
≥55％
$650 Vol.
いいえ
60%以上
$842 Vol.
いいえ
65%以上
$1,154 Vol.
いいえ
75%以上
$503 Vol.
いいえ
≥85％
$753 Vol.
いいえ
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed interim senator after her brother Lindsey Graham’s July 2026 death, faced Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 Republican runoff to secure the party nomination for the safely Republican South Carolina seat. Trump’s early endorsement, Myrtle Beach rally, and MAGA Inc. super PAC spending exceeding $827,000 on voter outreach proved decisive in overcoming Graham’s limited prior elected experience and a debated foreign-policy stumble. She finished first in the August 11 special primary with roughly 33 percent, advancing to the runoff where she secured 52.5 percent to Norman’s 47.5 percent across nearly all precincts. The narrow margin reflected divided conservative support despite Graham’s name recognition and temporary incumbency advantage. The general election against Democrat Annie Andrews follows on November 3.
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
音量
$18,124終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed interim senator after her brother Lindsey Graham’s July 2026 death, faced Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 Republican runoff to secure the party nomination for the safely Republican South Carolina seat. Trump’s early endorsement, Myrtle Beach rally, and MAGA Inc. super PAC spending exceeding $827,000 on voter outreach proved decisive in overcoming Graham’s limited prior elected experience and a debated foreign-policy stumble. She finished first in the August 11 special primary with roughly 33 percent, advancing to the runoff where she secured 52.5 percent to Norman’s 47.5 percent across nearly all precincts. The narrow margin reflected divided conservative support despite Graham’s name recognition and temporary incumbency advantage. The general election against Democrat Annie Andrews follows on November 3.
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$18,124終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Darline Graham, appointed interim senator after her brother Lindsey Graham’s July 2026 death, faced Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 Republican runoff to secure the party nomination for the safely Republican South Carolina seat. Trump’s early endorsement, Myrtle Beach rally, and MAGA Inc. super PAC spending exceeding $827,000 on voter outreach proved decisive in overcoming Graham’s limited prior elected experience and a debated foreign-policy stumble. She finished first in the August 11 special primary with roughly 33 percent, advancing to the runoff where she secured 52.5 percent to Norman’s 47.5 percent across nearly all precincts. The narrow margin reflected divided conservative support despite Graham’s name recognition and temporary incumbency advantage. The general election against Democrat Annie Andrews follows on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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