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icon for 8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?

8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?

icon for 8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?

8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?

$13,103 Vol.

2026/08/31
Polymarket

$13,103 Vol.

Polymarket

10,000以上

$2,454 Vol.

はい

15,000以上

$4,592 Vol.

はい

20,000以上

$6,057 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.**The primary driver of trader sentiment is the record-shattering 2026 cyclosporiasis season, with CDC data showing 17,180 laboratory-confirmed domestically acquired cases from May 1 through August 24—more than 14 times the 1,180 cases recorded over the same period in 2025.** A major multistate outbreak tied to processed iceberg lettuce from central Mexico accounts for a substantial share of illnesses, alongside at least six other clusters under investigation by CDC and FDA. Cases span 48 states plus D.C., with 922 hospitalizations and two deaths reported; median symptom onset was July 7. Cyclosporiasis, caused by the Cyclospora cayetanensis parasite and typically transmitted via contaminated fresh produce, follows a pronounced seasonal pattern peaking in summer. Because confirmation involves lab testing, patient interviews, and reporting lags, final August 31 totals may rise further even after the official season closes, directly shaping market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
音量
$13,103
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 27, 2026, 11:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.**The primary driver of trader sentiment is the record-shattering 2026 cyclosporiasis season, with CDC data showing 17,180 laboratory-confirmed domestically acquired cases from May 1 through August 24—more than 14 times the 1,180 cases recorded over the same period in 2025.** A major multistate outbreak tied to processed iceberg lettuce from central Mexico accounts for a substantial share of illnesses, alongside at least six other clusters under investigation by CDC and FDA. Cases span 48 states plus D.C., with 922 hospitalizations and two deaths reported; median symptom onset was July 7. Cyclosporiasis, caused by the Cyclospora cayetanensis parasite and typically transmitted via contaminated fresh produce, follows a pronounced seasonal pattern peaking in summer. Because confirmation involves lab testing, patient interviews, and reporting lags, final August 31 totals may rise further even after the official season closes, directly shaping market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.
音量
$13,103
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 27, 2026, 11:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「10,000以上」で100%、次いで「15,000以上」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?」は$13.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「10,000以上」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「15,000以上」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月31日までに米国でサイクロスポラ症の症例がありますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。