The August 2026 Core PCE Price Index rose 0.2% month-over-month, matching the market-implied outcome priced at 100% following the Bureau of Economic Analysis release on September 30. This reading came in below the 0.3% consensus forecast in several surveys, reflecting softer underlying price pressures after a revised 0.1% July gain and amid ongoing methodological adjustments to components such as software and services. Year-over-year core inflation eased to 3.0%, reinforcing the data's alignment with trader expectations for contained momentum. With the official figure now confirmed, further revisions remain the primary, albeit limited, uncertainty that could theoretically alter final market resolution.
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