Trader sentiment in the Core CPI MoM July 2026 market reflects the June print's unexpected flat reading, which undershot the 0.2% consensus amid easing shelter costs and broad-based moderation in core goods and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.09% for July, supporting the 54% implied probability on 0.2% and 34% on 0.1% as markets price in continued disinflation ahead of the August 12 release. Analysts' median forecasts hover near 0.2% MoM with 2.5% YoY, though sticky shelter components and potential tariff pass-through introduce upside risks that keep smaller probabilities on 0.3% and above. The closely bunched odds around the lower end underscore uncertainty tied to the latest labor and inflation trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.2% 54.0%
0.1％ 34.0%
0.3％ 5.9%
≤0.0％ 4.3%
$136,379 Vol.
$136,379 Vol.
2026/08/12
≤0.0％
4%
0.1％
34%
0.2%
54%
0.3％
6%
0.4%
4%
0.5％
<1%
0.6％以上
<1%
0.2% 54.0%
0.1％ 34.0%
0.3％ 5.9%
≤0.0％ 4.3%
$136,379 Vol.
$136,379 Vol.
2026/08/12
≤0.0％
$10,317 Vol.
4%
0.1％
$28,711 Vol.
34%
0.2%
$50,184 Vol.
54%
0.3％
$31,007 Vol.
6%
0.4%
$7,768 Vol.
4%
0.5％
$4,493 Vol.
<1%
0.6％以上
$3,899 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment in the Core CPI MoM July 2026 market reflects the June print's unexpected flat reading, which undershot the 0.2% consensus amid easing shelter costs and broad-based moderation in core goods and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.09% for July, supporting the 54% implied probability on 0.2% and 34% on 0.1% as markets price in continued disinflation ahead of the August 12 release. Analysts' median forecasts hover near 0.2% MoM with 2.5% YoY, though sticky shelter components and potential tariff pass-through introduce upside risks that keep smaller probabilities on 0.3% and above. The closely bunched odds around the lower end underscore uncertainty tied to the latest labor and inflation trajectory.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
音量
$136,379終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment in the Core CPI MoM July 2026 market reflects the June print's unexpected flat reading, which undershot the 0.2% consensus amid easing shelter costs and broad-based moderation in core goods and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.09% for July, supporting the 54% implied probability on 0.2% and 34% on 0.1% as markets price in continued disinflation ahead of the August 12 release. Analysts' median forecasts hover near 0.2% MoM with 2.5% YoY, though sticky shelter components and potential tariff pass-through introduce upside risks that keep smaller probabilities on 0.3% and above. The closely bunched odds around the lower end underscore uncertainty tied to the latest labor and inflation trajectory.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$136,379終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment in the Core CPI MoM July 2026 market reflects the June print's unexpected flat reading, which undershot the 0.2% consensus amid easing shelter costs and broad-based moderation in core goods and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.09% for July, supporting the 54% implied probability on 0.2% and 34% on 0.1% as markets price in continued disinflation ahead of the August 12 release. Analysts' median forecasts hover near 0.2% MoM with 2.5% YoY, though sticky shelter components and potential tariff pass-through introduce upside risks that keep smaller probabilities on 0.3% and above. The closely bunched odds around the lower end underscore uncertainty tied to the latest labor and inflation trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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