**Congressional approval of a comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement in 2026 faces substantial structural and political barriers.** An interim memorandum of understanding signed in June 2026 addressed a temporary ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz access while deferring core nuclear issues to further talks, but Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton immediately signaled that any nuclear-related accord would require Senate review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and would need verifiable Iranian dismantlement of enrichment capabilities plus concessions on missiles and regional activities. Bipartisan letters from over 50 senators and 177 representatives have rejected frameworks permitting continued enrichment, and lawmakers have complained of limited transparency on deal details. Early August 2026 saw renewed diplomatic efforts amid paused military threats, yet these talks center on narrower interim steps rather than a final package likely to satisfy congressional thresholds. Trader pricing at 86% for “No” reflects this entrenched skepticism and the high evidentiary bar for passage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
13% 確率
$12,381 Vol.
$12,381 Vol.
2027/01/01
13% 確率
$12,381 Vol.
$12,381 Vol.
2027/01/01
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Congressional approval of a comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement in 2026 faces substantial structural and political barriers.** An interim memorandum of understanding signed in June 2026 addressed a temporary ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz access while deferring core nuclear issues to further talks, but Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton immediately signaled that any nuclear-related accord would require Senate review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and would need verifiable Iranian dismantlement of enrichment capabilities plus concessions on missiles and regional activities. Bipartisan letters from over 50 senators and 177 representatives have rejected frameworks permitting continued enrichment, and lawmakers have complained of limited transparency on deal details. Early August 2026 saw renewed diplomatic efforts amid paused military threats, yet these talks center on narrower interim steps rather than a final package likely to satisfy congressional thresholds. Trader pricing at 86% for “No” reflects this entrenched skepticism and the high evidentiary bar for passage.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
音量
$12,381終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Congressional approval of a comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement in 2026 faces substantial structural and political barriers.** An interim memorandum of understanding signed in June 2026 addressed a temporary ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz access while deferring core nuclear issues to further talks, but Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton immediately signaled that any nuclear-related accord would require Senate review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and would need verifiable Iranian dismantlement of enrichment capabilities plus concessions on missiles and regional activities. Bipartisan letters from over 50 senators and 177 representatives have rejected frameworks permitting continued enrichment, and lawmakers have complained of limited transparency on deal details. Early August 2026 saw renewed diplomatic efforts amid paused military threats, yet these talks center on narrower interim steps rather than a final package likely to satisfy congressional thresholds. Trader pricing at 86% for “No” reflects this entrenched skepticism and the high evidentiary bar for passage.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$12,381終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Congressional approval of a comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement in 2026 faces substantial structural and political barriers.** An interim memorandum of understanding signed in June 2026 addressed a temporary ceasefire extension and Strait of Hormuz access while deferring core nuclear issues to further talks, but Republican senators including Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton immediately signaled that any nuclear-related accord would require Senate review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and would need verifiable Iranian dismantlement of enrichment capabilities plus concessions on missiles and regional activities. Bipartisan letters from over 50 senators and 177 representatives have rejected frameworks permitting continued enrichment, and lawmakers have complained of limited transparency on deal details. Early August 2026 saw renewed diplomatic efforts amid paused military threats, yet these talks center on narrower interim steps rather than a final package likely to satisfy congressional thresholds. Trader pricing at 86% for “No” reflects this entrenched skepticism and the high evidentiary bar for passage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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