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icon for テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

icon for テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...

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Polymarket

$4,714 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 8月30日

8月30日

$1,544 Vol.

22%

icon for 10月31日

10月31日

$501 Vol.

47%

icon for 12月31日

12月31日

$534 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis in livestock is driven by larval infestation of wounds, with females laying eggs that hatch into flesh-eating maggots; the U.S. has maintained eradication since the 1960s via sterile insect technique (SIT) releases along the southern border.** The June 2026 index case in a Zavala County, Texas calf triggered an APHIS/TAHC response with additional confirmations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties through early summer, plus one non-livestock detection in a New Mexico dog near the border. As of mid-August 2026, active cases remain concentrated in Texas livestock with no verified spread to other states in cattle, goats, or sheep per USDA dashboards. Key controls include expanded SIT dispersal, wound treatment protocols, movement restrictions, and port monitoring (e.g., Douglas, AZ reopening August 24 with the nearest active case ~325 miles away). Trader sentiment hinges on containment success versus northward or interstate livestock/wildlife movement during peak fly activity. Upcoming APHIS surveillance updates, any new county-level confirmations, and model runs on fly dispersal or import risk will be primary near-term catalysts. Historical precedent shows rapid SIT response can limit outbreaks, but border proximity sustains reintroduction pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$4,714
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis in livestock is driven by larval infestation of wounds, with females laying eggs that hatch into flesh-eating maggots; the U.S. has maintained eradication since the 1960s via sterile insect technique (SIT) releases along the southern border.** The June 2026 index case in a Zavala County, Texas calf triggered an APHIS/TAHC response with additional confirmations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties through early summer, plus one non-livestock detection in a New Mexico dog near the border. As of mid-August 2026, active cases remain concentrated in Texas livestock with no verified spread to other states in cattle, goats, or sheep per USDA dashboards. Key controls include expanded SIT dispersal, wound treatment protocols, movement restrictions, and port monitoring (e.g., Douglas, AZ reopening August 24 with the nearest active case ~325 miles away). Trader sentiment hinges on containment success versus northward or interstate livestock/wildlife movement during peak fly activity. Upcoming APHIS surveillance updates, any new county-level confirmations, and model runs on fly dispersal or import risk will be primary near-term catalysts. Historical precedent shows rapid SIT response can limit outbreaks, but border proximity sustains reintroduction pressure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$4,714
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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よくある質問

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で54%、次いで「10月31日」が47%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10月31日」で47%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テキサス州を越えた家畜の米国Screwworm症例を確認しました...」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。