Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below the 4.5-5.0% annual target range, anchors trader sentiment around the 4.3-4.9% band for Q3. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property sector downturn, offsets resilient manufacturing and export momentum tied to global demand. July inflation data showing CPI at just 0.5% year-over-year signals limited reflationary pressure, while elevated producer prices reflect energy cost pass-through. Market-implied odds reflect expectations for incremental fiscal support and potential Politburo easing measures to stabilize the trajectory, though structural imbalances limit upside. Q3 data release in mid-October and upcoming economic indicators will serve as key catalysts for any repricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4.6-4.9% 51%
4.3-4.6% 42%
4.9-5.2% 5.3%
4.0-4.3% 5.0%
$19,980 Vol.
$19,980 Vol.
2026/10/20
<3.4%
1%
3.4-3.7%
1%
3.7-4.0%
<1%
4.0-4.3%
5%
4.3-4.6%
42%
4.6-4.9%
51%
4.9-5.2%
5%
5.2-5.5%
3%
5.5%+
2%
4.6-4.9% 51%
4.3-4.6% 42%
4.9-5.2% 5.3%
4.0-4.3% 5.0%
$19,980 Vol.
$19,980 Vol.
2026/10/20
<3.4%
$794 Vol.
1%
3.4-3.7%
$547 Vol.
1%
3.7-4.0%
$589 Vol.
<1%
4.0-4.3%
$1,240 Vol.
5%
4.3-4.6%
$4,958 Vol.
42%
4.6-4.9%
$7,790 Vol.
51%
4.9-5.2%
$2,477 Vol.
5%
5.2-5.5%
$722 Vol.
3%
5.5%+
$863 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below the 4.5-5.0% annual target range, anchors trader sentiment around the 4.3-4.9% band for Q3. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property sector downturn, offsets resilient manufacturing and export momentum tied to global demand. July inflation data showing CPI at just 0.5% year-over-year signals limited reflationary pressure, while elevated producer prices reflect energy cost pass-through. Market-implied odds reflect expectations for incremental fiscal support and potential Politburo easing measures to stabilize the trajectory, though structural imbalances limit upside. Q3 data release in mid-October and upcoming economic indicators will serve as key catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
音量
$19,980終了日
2026/10/20マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.htmlRecent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below the 4.5-5.0% annual target range, anchors trader sentiment around the 4.3-4.9% band for Q3. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property sector downturn, offsets resilient manufacturing and export momentum tied to global demand. July inflation data showing CPI at just 0.5% year-over-year signals limited reflationary pressure, while elevated producer prices reflect energy cost pass-through. Market-implied odds reflect expectations for incremental fiscal support and potential Politburo easing measures to stabilize the trajectory, though structural imbalances limit upside. Q3 data release in mid-October and upcoming economic indicators will serve as key catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
音量
$19,980終了日
2026/10/20マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP growth of 4.3% year-over-year, down from 5.0% in Q1 and below the 4.5-5.0% annual target range, anchors trader sentiment around the 4.3-4.9% band for Q3. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption and private investment, amid the ongoing property sector downturn, offsets resilient manufacturing and export momentum tied to global demand. July inflation data showing CPI at just 0.5% year-over-year signals limited reflationary pressure, while elevated producer prices reflect energy cost pass-through. Market-implied odds reflect expectations for incremental fiscal support and potential Politburo easing measures to stabilize the trajectory, though structural imbalances limit upside. Q3 data release in mid-October and upcoming economic indicators will serve as key catalysts for any repricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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