The Bank of Russia's October key rate decision remains closely balanced between no change and a modest cut, with traders weighing persistent pro-inflationary risks against softer growth signals. Elevated inflation expectations, fuel supply disruptions from refinery capacity losses, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to slow its easing pace since mid-2026, raising its projected average rate path for the year. Recent data on price pressures and the ruble will shape the September meeting outcome, which could clarify whether conditions support further reduction by late October. Scheduled inflation releases and any shifts in budget dynamics within the resolution window remain the primary catalysts that could widen the current narrow gap in probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Change 50%
Decrease 43%
Increase 7.3%
$11,193 Vol.
$11,193 Vol.
2026/10/23
Decrease
43%
No Change
50%
Increase
7%
No Change 50%
Decrease 43%
Increase 7.3%
$11,193 Vol.
$11,193 Vol.
2026/10/23
Decrease
$2,705 Vol.
43%
No Change
$2,817 Vol.
50%
Increase
$5,671 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's October key rate decision remains closely balanced between no change and a modest cut, with traders weighing persistent pro-inflationary risks against softer growth signals. Elevated inflation expectations, fuel supply disruptions from refinery capacity losses, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to slow its easing pace since mid-2026, raising its projected average rate path for the year. Recent data on price pressures and the ruble will shape the September meeting outcome, which could clarify whether conditions support further reduction by late October. Scheduled inflation releases and any shifts in budget dynamics within the resolution window remain the primary catalysts that could widen the current narrow gap in probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$11,193終了日
2026/10/23マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's October key rate decision remains closely balanced between no change and a modest cut, with traders weighing persistent pro-inflationary risks against softer growth signals. Elevated inflation expectations, fuel supply disruptions from refinery capacity losses, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to slow its easing pace since mid-2026, raising its projected average rate path for the year. Recent data on price pressures and the ruble will shape the September meeting outcome, which could clarify whether conditions support further reduction by late October. Scheduled inflation releases and any shifts in budget dynamics within the resolution window remain the primary catalysts that could widen the current narrow gap in probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
音量
$11,193終了日
2026/10/23マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia's October key rate decision remains closely balanced between no change and a modest cut, with traders weighing persistent pro-inflationary risks against softer growth signals. Elevated inflation expectations, fuel supply disruptions from refinery capacity losses, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to slow its easing pace since mid-2026, raising its projected average rate path for the year. Recent data on price pressures and the ruble will shape the September meeting outcome, which could clarify whether conditions support further reduction by late October. Scheduled inflation releases and any shifts in budget dynamics within the resolution window remain the primary catalysts that could widen the current narrow gap in probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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