The shortlist announcement on September 8 has sharpened focus for the October 26 ceremony in London, with Harry Kane emerging as the clearest frontrunner after a record 73-goal season that delivered a Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double for Bayern Munich plus six World Cup goals as England finished third. Spain’s World Cup triumph has boosted Lamine Yamal and Rodri, while PSG’s Champions League success and domestic dominance keep defending champion Ousmane Dembélé and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in the mix alongside Kylian Mbappé. Kane’s combination of volume scoring, trophies, and consistency gives him the strongest narrative edge in a wide-open race, though voters’ emphasis on international success and team achievements could still shift final top-three placements before the ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,223 Vol.
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
77%
Kylian Mbappé
60%
Rodri
46%
Lionel Messi
17%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
14%
Pau Cubarsi
7%
Fabian Ruiz
6%
Vitinha
4%
Raphinha
3%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Declan Rice
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Mohamed Salah
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Enzo Fernandez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Pedri
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Cole Palmer
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Bukayo Saka
2%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Rodrygo
<1%
$56,223 Vol.
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
77%
Kylian Mbappé
60%
Rodri
46%
Lionel Messi
17%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
14%
Pau Cubarsi
7%
Fabian Ruiz
6%
Vitinha
4%
Raphinha
3%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Declan Rice
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Mohamed Salah
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Enzo Fernandez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Pedri
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Cole Palmer
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Bukayo Saka
2%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Rodrygo
<1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The shortlist announcement on September 8 has sharpened focus for the October 26 ceremony in London, with Harry Kane emerging as the clearest frontrunner after a record 73-goal season that delivered a Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double for Bayern Munich plus six World Cup goals as England finished third. Spain’s World Cup triumph has boosted Lamine Yamal and Rodri, while PSG’s Champions League success and domestic dominance keep defending champion Ousmane Dembélé and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in the mix alongside Kylian Mbappé. Kane’s combination of volume scoring, trophies, and consistency gives him the strongest narrative edge in a wide-open race, though voters’ emphasis on international success and team achievements could still shift final top-three placements before the ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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