**Recent economic data and consensus forecasts position the 0.4% and 0.3% month-over-month outcomes as the leading probabilities for the August 2026 US CPI release scheduled for September 11.** July's CPI rose a modest 0.1% MoM (headline) and 0.2% MoM (core), with the year-over-year headline rate easing to 3.4%, reflecting cooling energy pressures after earlier spikes. Analysts now anticipate a rebound in August, with gasoline prices expected to rise for the first time in several months alongside firm shelter and services components, producing headline prints clustered around 0.3–0.4% MoM. Market-implied odds align closely with these forecasts, as traders incorporate the latest BLS data, nowcasts, and component trends while acknowledging the inherent uncertainty in volatile categories like energy. The closely spaced probabilities for 0.3% and 0.4% underscore the data-dependent nature of the outcome ahead of the report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.4％ 47%
0.3％ 27%
0.5％以上 14%
0.2% 6%
$29,737 Vol.
$29,737 Vol.
2026/09/10
-0.3％以下
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0％
1%
0.1％
1%
0.2%
6%
0.3％
27%
0.4％
47%
0.5％以上
14%
0.4％ 47%
0.3％ 27%
0.5％以上 14%
0.2% 6%
$29,737 Vol.
$29,737 Vol.
2026/09/10
-0.3％以下
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$618 Vol.
<1%
-0.1%
$799 Vol.
<1%
0.0％
$1,170 Vol.
1%
0.1％
$999 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$1,539 Vol.
6%
0.3％
$3,449 Vol.
27%
0.4％
$8,787 Vol.
47%
0.5％以上
$11,343 Vol.
14%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Recent economic data and consensus forecasts position the 0.4% and 0.3% month-over-month outcomes as the leading probabilities for the August 2026 US CPI release scheduled for September 11.** July's CPI rose a modest 0.1% MoM (headline) and 0.2% MoM (core), with the year-over-year headline rate easing to 3.4%, reflecting cooling energy pressures after earlier spikes. Analysts now anticipate a rebound in August, with gasoline prices expected to rise for the first time in several months alongside firm shelter and services components, producing headline prints clustered around 0.3–0.4% MoM.
Market-implied odds align closely with these forecasts, as traders incorporate the latest BLS data, nowcasts, and component trends while acknowledging the inherent uncertainty in volatile categories like energy. The closely spaced probabilities for 0.3% and 0.4% underscore the data-dependent nature of the outcome ahead of the report.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
音量
$29,737終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Recent economic data and consensus forecasts position the 0.4% and 0.3% month-over-month outcomes as the leading probabilities for the August 2026 US CPI release scheduled for September 11.** July's CPI rose a modest 0.1% MoM (headline) and 0.2% MoM (core), with the year-over-year headline rate easing to 3.4%, reflecting cooling energy pressures after earlier spikes. Analysts now anticipate a rebound in August, with gasoline prices expected to rise for the first time in several months alongside firm shelter and services components, producing headline prints clustered around 0.3–0.4% MoM.
Market-implied odds align closely with these forecasts, as traders incorporate the latest BLS data, nowcasts, and component trends while acknowledging the inherent uncertainty in volatile categories like energy. The closely spaced probabilities for 0.3% and 0.4% underscore the data-dependent nature of the outcome ahead of the report.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$29,737終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Recent economic data and consensus forecasts position the 0.4% and 0.3% month-over-month outcomes as the leading probabilities for the August 2026 US CPI release scheduled for September 11.** July's CPI rose a modest 0.1% MoM (headline) and 0.2% MoM (core), with the year-over-year headline rate easing to 3.4%, reflecting cooling energy pressures after earlier spikes. Analysts now anticipate a rebound in August, with gasoline prices expected to rise for the first time in several months alongside firm shelter and services components, producing headline prints clustered around 0.3–0.4% MoM. Market-implied odds align closely with these forecasts, as traders incorporate the latest BLS data, nowcasts, and component trends while acknowledging the inherent uncertainty in volatile categories like energy. The closely spaced probabilities for 0.3% and 0.4% underscore the data-dependent nature of the outcome ahead of the report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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