Éric Zemmour's mid-September 2026 confirmation on BFMTV that he will seek the Reconquête nomination for the 2027 French presidential election has anchored trader consensus around his 80% implied probability. The party leader explicitly ruled out Sarah Knafo as the standard-bearer, describing himself as the movement's candidate while noting a formal declaration would follow in the fall. Knafo, the party's vice-president and MEP, has repeatedly endorsed this outcome in interviews, calling Zemmour the "natural candidate" and positioning herself as a complementary figure focused on economic messaging such as purchasing power and public spending. No party primary or alternative selection process has been scheduled, and recent polling and media coverage continue to treat Zemmour as the default choice absent unforeseen shifts in internal dynamics.