Preliminary analyses of May 2026 global surface temperatures position the month as the second-warmest on record, trailing only May 2024 by a narrow margin of roughly 0.05 °C according to early NOAA and NASA data. Persistent anthropogenic warming combined with lingering ocean heat content has sustained elevated anomalies near 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, preventing a drop into lower rankings despite the absence of a strong El Niño during the month. Final agency reports expected in the coming weeks could shift the precise placement if revisions alter the anomaly by even 0.02–0.03 °C, while any unexpected cooling signal in unreported regional data remains the primary route to a lower finish.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest 98.1%
3rd hottest 1.6%
1st hottest <1%
4th or lower <1%
$237,582 Vol.
$237,582 Vol.
2026/06/10
1st hottest
1%
2nd hottest
98%
3rd hottest
2%
4th or lower
<1%
2nd hottest 98.1%
3rd hottest 1.6%
1st hottest <1%
4th or lower <1%
$237,582 Vol.
$237,582 Vol.
2026/06/10
1st hottest
$26,028 Vol.
1%
2nd hottest
$11,141 Vol.
98%
3rd hottest
$73,608 Vol.
2%
4th or lower
$126,805 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Preliminary analyses of May 2026 global surface temperatures position the month as the second-warmest on record, trailing only May 2024 by a narrow margin of roughly 0.05 °C according to early NOAA and NASA data. Persistent anthropogenic warming combined with lingering ocean heat content has sustained elevated anomalies near 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, preventing a drop into lower rankings despite the absence of a strong El Niño during the month. Final agency reports expected in the coming weeks could shift the precise placement if revisions alter the anomaly by even 0.02–0.03 °C, while any unexpected cooling signal in unreported regional data remains the primary route to a lower finish.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
音量
$237,582終了日
2026/06/10マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Preliminary analyses of May 2026 global surface temperatures position the month as the second-warmest on record, trailing only May 2024 by a narrow margin of roughly 0.05 °C according to early NOAA and NASA data. Persistent anthropogenic warming combined with lingering ocean heat content has sustained elevated anomalies near 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, preventing a drop into lower rankings despite the absence of a strong El Niño during the month. Final agency reports expected in the coming weeks could shift the precise placement if revisions alter the anomaly by even 0.02–0.03 °C, while any unexpected cooling signal in unreported regional data remains the primary route to a lower finish.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
音量
$237,582終了日
2026/06/10マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary analyses of May 2026 global surface temperatures position the month as the second-warmest on record, trailing only May 2024 by a narrow margin of roughly 0.05 °C according to early NOAA and NASA data. Persistent anthropogenic warming combined with lingering ocean heat content has sustained elevated anomalies near 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, preventing a drop into lower rankings despite the absence of a strong El Niño during the month. Final agency reports expected in the coming weeks could shift the precise placement if revisions alter the anomaly by even 0.02–0.03 °C, while any unexpected cooling signal in unreported regional data remains the primary route to a lower finish.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問