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icon for 6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?

6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?

icon for 6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?

6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

AnthropicのClaude <1%

Polymarket

$7,997 Vol.

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

AnthropicのClaude <1%

Polymarket

$7,997 Vol.

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$1,023 Vol.

いいえ

icon for Google

Google

$945 Vol.

いいえ

icon for AnthropicのClaude

AnthropicのClaude

$1,397 Vol.

いいえ

icon for Threads

Threads

$900 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$557 Vol.

いいえ

icon for Instants(Instagramアプリ)

Instants(Instagramアプリ)

$993 Vol.

いいえ

icon for Planet Fitness

Planet Fitness

$927 Vol.

いいえ

icon for Сириус

Сириус

$1,254 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).**Streaming platforms dominate trader focus for the #2 free app slot amid a tight race across multiple contenders.** Live sports and entertainment events, including FIFA World Cup coverage, have propelled apps like Tubi and FOX One into the top ranks through high engagement in news, movies, and real-time TV streaming. This creates competitive pressure from established players such as Peacock and Love Island USA, while AI chatbots including ChatGPT and Claude remain sidelined at under 1% implied probability due to lower daily active usage compared to media consumption spikes. Apple's recent June 8 updates expanding subscription tools and developer marketing options add indirect momentum to free-tier growth strategies, though rankings hinge on immediate user downloads rather than policy shifts. The even 50% pricing across listed outcomes reflects ongoing volatility in daily charts, with last-minute catalysts like event timing or app updates likely to decide the close contest.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$7,997
終了日
2026/06/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).**Streaming platforms dominate trader focus for the #2 free app slot amid a tight race across multiple contenders.** Live sports and entertainment events, including FIFA World Cup coverage, have propelled apps like Tubi and FOX One into the top ranks through high engagement in news, movies, and real-time TV streaming. This creates competitive pressure from established players such as Peacock and Love Island USA, while AI chatbots including ChatGPT and Claude remain sidelined at under 1% implied probability due to lower daily active usage compared to media consumption spikes. Apple's recent June 8 updates expanding subscription tools and developer marketing options add indirect momentum to free-tier growth strategies, though rankings hinge on immediate user downloads rather than policy shifts. The even 50% pricing across listed outcomes reflects ongoing volatility in daily charts, with last-minute catalysts like event timing or app updates likely to decide the close contest.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$7,997
終了日
2026/06/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 8, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Google Gemini」で0%、次いで「Google」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 8, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「Google Gemini」でわずか0%、「Google」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月12日に米国のApple App StoreでNo.2の無料アプリが登場しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。