BTS’ “Swim” leads trader sentiment at 60% implied probability thanks to its record-setting dominance on the Billboard Global 200 and Global Excl. U.S. charts through early July, including an eighth week at No. 1 on the latter and sustained streaming strength from the ARIRANG album cycle. Its prior Hot 100 history and consistent performance give it clear momentum heading into the July 17 tracking week. Shakira and Burna Boy’s “Dai Dai,” the official 2026 FIFA World Cup anthem, sits at 41% after claiming the Global Excl. U.S. top spot for two weeks, fueled by tournament timing and cross-cultural appeal. Olivia Rodrigo tracks like “Stupid Song” and older catalog entries such as “Billie Jean” trail further behind amid fresher competition. The next Billboard chart update remains the key near-term catalyst.