cryptedgor

Iscritto gen 2026·3 visualizzazioni

$67.23

Valore posizioni

$39.50

Vincita più grande

Previsioni

Profitto/Perdita

-$0.85

Ultimo giorno

Attuale

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 79¢

29.5 azioni

79¢

74.5¢

$22.01-$1.33 (-5.7%)

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 79¢

29.5 azioni

$22.01-$1.33 (-5.7%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 74¢

20.0 azioni

74¢

81¢

$16.20$1.40 (9.46%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 74¢

20.0 azioni

$16.20$1.40 (9.46%)

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50¢

20.0 azioni

50¢

30¢

$6.00-$4.00 (-40%)

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50¢

20.0 azioni

$6.00-$4.00 (-40%)

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 18¢

10.0 azioni

18¢

51¢

$5.10$3.30 (183.33%)

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 18¢

10.0 azioni

$5.10$3.30 (183.33%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 10.1¢

30.0 azioni

10.1¢

15.3¢

$4.58$1.55 (50.99%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 10.1¢

30.0 azioni

$4.58$1.55 (50.99%)

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.2¢

600.0 azioni

0.2¢

0.7¢

$3.90$2.70 (225%)

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.2¢

600.0 azioni

$3.90$2.70 (225%)

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 28¢

10.0 azioni

28¢

28.5¢

$2.85$0.05 (1.74%)

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 28¢

10.0 azioni

$2.85$0.05 (1.74%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 22¢

5.0 azioni

22¢

21.5¢

$1.08-$0.03 (-2.27%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 22¢

5.0 azioni

$1.08-$0.03 (-2.27%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Yes 17¢

10.0 azioni

17¢

10.5¢

$1.05-$0.65 (-38.24%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Yes 17¢

10.0 azioni

$1.05-$0.65 (-38.24%)

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 9.9¢

11.0 azioni

9.9¢

9.5¢

$1.05-$0.04 (-4.04%)

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 9.9¢

11.0 azioni

$1.05-$0.04 (-4.04%)

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

150.0 azioni

0.7¢

$0.98-$0.08 (-7.14%)

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

150.0 azioni

$0.98-$0.08 (-7.14%)

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1¢

100.0 azioni

1¢

0.9¢

$0.85-$0.15 (-15%)

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1¢

100.0 azioni

$0.85-$0.15 (-15%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 20¢

10.0 azioni

20¢

7.5¢

$0.75-$1.25 (-62.5%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 20¢

10.0 azioni

$0.75-$1.25 (-62.5%)

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

No 10¢

20.0 azioni

10¢

2.9¢

$0.57-$1.43 (-71.5%)

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

No 10¢

20.0 azioni

$0.57-$1.43 (-71.5%)

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No 7¢

15.0 azioni

7¢

1.9¢

$0.28-$0.76 (-72.86%)

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No 7¢

15.0 azioni

$0.28-$0.76 (-72.86%)