Profitto/Perdita
Ultimo giorno

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
23.5¢
26.4¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9.2¢
12.8¢

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12.9¢
16¢

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
11.5¢
9.5¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2.9¢
2.9¢

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
39.6¢
51.5¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5.7¢
6.4¢

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
4.7¢
8.2¢

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
5.6¢
5.5¢

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
11.2¢
6.5¢

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
14¢
12.5¢

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
54.2¢
31¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
3.5¢
2.2¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4¢
2.5¢

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
31.2¢
16.1¢

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
