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Department Of Homeland Security predictions & odds

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Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

31%

May 31

$956 Vol.

$68.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

52%

June 30

$127K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

8%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

11%

$10.6K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

4%

$34.2K Vol.

$69.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 29 days

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

94%

Pass 3-6%

$544K Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

63

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

79%

December 31

$438K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

48

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

34%

$296K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

80%

4.5%

$194K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

3%

$1.2K Vol.

$673 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

1%

$14.9K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

$105K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

30%

$14.7K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

58%

3.9%

$213K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$587K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

38

Ends in about 2 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

16%

$150K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

95%

$40 trillion

$10.4K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

62%

$39 Vol.

$21 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

46%

$234 Vol.

$117 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

48%

June 30

$18.0K Vol.

$5 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for Department Of Homeland Security that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Department Of Homeland Security predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.