Traders assign a 97.9% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the absence of any public statements, official announcements, or credible reports indicating marital discord with Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership structures enforce tight controls over personal information, and no recent diplomatic, policy, or internal developments have introduced verifiable signals of change. Historical precedent shows stable personal circumstances for senior officials absent major health or institutional disruptions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden undisclosed health events or rare information leaks, though institutional safeguards make these developments unlikely within the timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$102,266 Vol.
$102,266 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$102,266 Vol.
$102,266 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 97.9% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the absence of any public statements, official announcements, or credible reports indicating marital discord with Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership structures enforce tight controls over personal information, and no recent diplomatic, policy, or internal developments have introduced verifiable signals of change. Historical precedent shows stable personal circumstances for senior officials absent major health or institutional disruptions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden undisclosed health events or rare information leaks, though institutional safeguards make these developments unlikely within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Mercato aperto: Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$102,266Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 97.9% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the absence of any public statements, official announcements, or credible reports indicating marital discord with Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership structures enforce tight controls over personal information, and no recent diplomatic, policy, or internal developments have introduced verifiable signals of change. Historical precedent shows stable personal circumstances for senior officials absent major health or institutional disruptions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden undisclosed health events or rare information leaks, though institutional safeguards make these developments unlikely within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$102,266Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.9% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the absence of any public statements, official announcements, or credible reports indicating marital discord with Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership structures enforce tight controls over personal information, and no recent diplomatic, policy, or internal developments have introduced verifiable signals of change. Historical precedent shows stable personal circumstances for senior officials absent major health or institutional disruptions. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden undisclosed health events or rare information leaks, though institutional safeguards make these developments unlikely within the timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti