Germany enters the 2026 World Cup as clear Group E favorites at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on its squad depth, attacking options including Musiala and Wirtz, and overall experience despite recent group-stage exits. Ecuador at 20.5% benefits from a solid CONMEBOL qualifying campaign that placed it ahead of several established sides, positioning it ahead of Ivory Coast at 12% despite the Elephants' 2023 Africa Cup of Nations title and return to the tournament. Curaçao at 0.9% faces its debut against superior opposition. Previews in recent days emphasize Germany's path to topping the group while noting the tight contest for second between the South American and African sides ahead of matches starting in mid-June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Gruppo E Coppa del Mondo FIFA
Germania 69%
Ecuador 21%
Costa d'Avorio 12.0%
Curaçao 1.0%
$58,001 Vol.
$58,001 Vol.
Germania
69%
Ecuador
21%
Costa d'Avorio
12%
Curaçao
1%
Germania 69%
Ecuador 21%
Costa d'Avorio 12.0%
Curaçao 1.0%
$58,001 Vol.
$58,001 Vol.
Germania
69%
Ecuador
21%
Costa d'Avorio
12%
Curaçao
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Germany enters the 2026 World Cup as clear Group E favorites at 68.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on its squad depth, attacking options including Musiala and Wirtz, and overall experience despite recent group-stage exits. Ecuador at 20.5% benefits from a solid CONMEBOL qualifying campaign that placed it ahead of several established sides, positioning it ahead of Ivory Coast at 12% despite the Elephants' 2023 Africa Cup of Nations title and return to the tournament. Curaçao at 0.9% faces its debut against superior opposition. Previews in recent days emphasize Germany's path to topping the group while noting the tight contest for second between the South American and African sides ahead of matches starting in mid-June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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