**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$8,849 Vol.
↑ 2,1M
Sì
↑ 2,0M
Sì
↓ 1,8M
No
↓ 1,7M
No
↓ 1,6M
No
$8,849 Vol.
↑ 2,1M
Sì
↑ 2,0M
Sì
↓ 1,8M
No
↓ 1,7M
No
↓ 1,6M
No
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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