Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?

Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?

icon for Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?

Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?

$8,849 Vol.

31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$8,849 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 2,1M

$800 Vol.

↑ 2,0M

$2,480 Vol.

↓ 1,8M

$1,316 Vol.

No

↓ 1,7M

$1,221 Vol.

No

↓ 1,6M

$3,032 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$8,849
Data di fine
31 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Esito proposto: Sì

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Sì

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$8,849
Data di fine
31 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Esito proposto: Sì

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "↑ 2,1M" a 100%, seguito da "↑ 2,0M" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 29, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?" è "↑ 2,1M" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "↑ 2,0M" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il dollaro raggiungerà ___ rial iraniani entro il 31 agosto?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.