Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, rooted in the February 2026 initiation of U.S.-Israeli strikes targeting Iranian nuclear and military sites, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal war declaration. A June memorandum of understanding produced a temporary pause and talks on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear issues, but the agreement has largely collapsed amid renewed exchanges of limited strikes, Iranian threats to shipping lanes, and U.S. reimposition of sanctions and naval pressure. As of early September 2026, the Trump administration has pursued targeted military actions and economic measures rather than seeking congressional authorization for full-scale war, with statements emphasizing degradation of Iranian capabilities without crossing into declared hostilities. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or further escalations around the strait could influence whether conditions for an official declaration materialize within any specified timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
Gli Stati Uniti dichiareranno ufficialmente guerra all'Iran entro...?
$7,814,668 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
2%
$7,814,668 Vol.
31 dicembre
$842,034 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, rooted in the February 2026 initiation of U.S.-Israeli strikes targeting Iranian nuclear and military sites, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal war declaration. A June memorandum of understanding produced a temporary pause and talks on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear issues, but the agreement has largely collapsed amid renewed exchanges of limited strikes, Iranian threats to shipping lanes, and U.S. reimposition of sanctions and naval pressure. As of early September 2026, the Trump administration has pursued targeted military actions and economic measures rather than seeking congressional authorization for full-scale war, with statements emphasizing degradation of Iranian capabilities without crossing into declared hostilities. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or further escalations around the strait could influence whether conditions for an official declaration materialize within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,814,668Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, rooted in the February 2026 initiation of U.S.-Israeli strikes targeting Iranian nuclear and military sites, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal war declaration. A June memorandum of understanding produced a temporary pause and talks on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear issues, but the agreement has largely collapsed amid renewed exchanges of limited strikes, Iranian threats to shipping lanes, and U.S. reimposition of sanctions and naval pressure. As of early September 2026, the Trump administration has pursued targeted military actions and economic measures rather than seeking congressional authorization for full-scale war, with statements emphasizing degradation of Iranian capabilities without crossing into declared hostilities. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or further escalations around the strait could influence whether conditions for an official declaration materialize within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,814,668Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, rooted in the February 2026 initiation of U.S.-Israeli strikes targeting Iranian nuclear and military sites, continue to shape trader assessments of any formal war declaration. A June memorandum of understanding produced a temporary pause and talks on sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear issues, but the agreement has largely collapsed amid renewed exchanges of limited strikes, Iranian threats to shipping lanes, and U.S. reimposition of sanctions and naval pressure. As of early September 2026, the Trump administration has pursued targeted military actions and economic measures rather than seeking congressional authorization for full-scale war, with statements emphasizing degradation of Iranian capabilities without crossing into declared hostilities. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or further escalations around the strait could influence whether conditions for an official declaration materialize within any specified timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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