Roger Federer's retirement from professional tennis after the 2022 Laver Cup remains the dominant factor behind the 99.2% implied probability that he will not appear in the Wimbledon Championships singles draw. At age 44, the eight-time champion has not entered the ATP or Grand Slam calendar since stepping away, with recent activity limited to exhibition doubles at the 2026 US Open qualifying stages and a Hall of Fame pro-am appearance. No official entry, wildcard request, or practice commitments tied to the All England Club have surfaced in the lead-up to the grass-court major. While unannounced late entries or exhibition formats occasionally occur in tennis, the absence of any competitive pathway or medical clearance for full match play reinforces the market's near-certain consensus.