OpenAI’s April 23, 2026 release of GPT-5.5, positioned as its smartest frontier model with advances in agentic reasoning, tool use, and efficiency for complex professional tasks, underscores the company’s accelerated iteration pace following GPT-5.4 in March. Official updates, including the May 5 GPT-5.5 Instant rollout as ChatGPT’s new default, reflect ongoing refinements rather than a full next-generation leap, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini variants. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should watch for any confirmed GPT-5.6-level announcement or major capability jump before key deadlines, as OpenAI’s pattern of frequent, incremental frontier updates continues to shape market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
$18,704 Vol.
31 mag 2026
31 maggio
8%
June 30
89%
September 30
97%
$18,704 Vol.
31 maggio
$4,601 Vol.
8%
June 30
$3,609 Vol.
89%
September 30
$10,494 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s April 23, 2026 release of GPT-5.5, positioned as its smartest frontier model with advances in agentic reasoning, tool use, and efficiency for complex professional tasks, underscores the company’s accelerated iteration pace following GPT-5.4 in March. Official updates, including the May 5 GPT-5.5 Instant rollout as ChatGPT’s new default, reflect ongoing refinements rather than a full next-generation leap, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini variants. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should watch for any confirmed GPT-5.6-level announcement or major capability jump before key deadlines, as OpenAI’s pattern of frequent, incremental frontier updates continues to shape market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Volume
$18,704Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s April 23, 2026 release of GPT-5.5, positioned as its smartest frontier model with advances in agentic reasoning, tool use, and efficiency for complex professional tasks, underscores the company’s accelerated iteration pace following GPT-5.4 in March. Official updates, including the May 5 GPT-5.5 Instant rollout as ChatGPT’s new default, reflect ongoing refinements rather than a full next-generation leap, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini variants. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should watch for any confirmed GPT-5.6-level announcement or major capability jump before key deadlines, as OpenAI’s pattern of frequent, incremental frontier updates continues to shape market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$18,704Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s April 23, 2026 release of GPT-5.5, positioned as its smartest frontier model with advances in agentic reasoning, tool use, and efficiency for complex professional tasks, underscores the company’s accelerated iteration pace following GPT-5.4 in March. Official updates, including the May 5 GPT-5.5 Instant rollout as ChatGPT’s new default, reflect ongoing refinements rather than a full next-generation leap, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini variants. Traders monitoring resolution criteria should watch for any confirmed GPT-5.6-level announcement or major capability jump before key deadlines, as OpenAI’s pattern of frequent, incremental frontier updates continues to shape market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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