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Politica·Kamala

Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight?

icon for Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight?
Politica·Kamala

Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$184,796 Vol.

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$184,796 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.

Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$184,796
Data di fine
5 nov 2024
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2024, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.

Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$184,796
Data di fine
5 nov 2024
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2024, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris concedes the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight? " è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight? " ha generato $184.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 5, 2024. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight? ", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight? " è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will Kamala Harris concede by midnight? " definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.