US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$14,934 Vol.
30 ago 2026
↑ $5,00
No
↑ $4,75
No
↑ $4,50
No
↑ 4,25 $
No
↓ $3,90
No
↓ $3,70
No
↓ $3,50
No
↓ $3,25
No
↓ $3,00
No
↓ $2,50
No
$14,934 Vol.
↑ $5,00
$2,674 Vol.
No
↑ $4,75
$692 Vol.
No
↑ $4,50
$3,737 Vol.
No
↑ 4,25 $
$2,037 Vol.
No
↓ $3,90
$786 Vol.
No
↓ $3,70
$2,112 Vol.
No
↓ $3,50
$690 Vol.
No
↓ $3,25
$761 Vol.
No
↓ $3,00
$951 Vol.
No
↓ $2,50
$494 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$14,934Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$14,934Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
US retail gasoline prices held near $4.05–$4.09 per gallon through late August 2026, reflecting WTI crude near $86 per barrel, record domestic output, and refinery runs that kept inventories above seasonal norms. Ample Gulf Coast supply and easing summer driving demand capped upside moves, while modest LNG-linked consumption offered limited support. Trader consensus on related Polymarket contracts priced only slim implied probabilities for surges to $4.25 or higher by month-end, consistent with structural surplus conditions rather than acute disruption risks. Key near-term catalysts included weekly EIA inventory releases and any late crude volatility that could shift spot pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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