Trader consensus implies a 90% probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible Bloomberg reporting and supply chain leaks confirming Apple’s split launch strategy: iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max slated for September alongside a potential foldable iPhone, while the base model slips to spring 2027. Recent developments, including dummy unit photos showing thicker camera modules and leaker claims of Pro-tier RAM upgrades for the standard variant, reinforce expectations of a Pro-led rollout adhering to Apple’s annual flagship cadence. No historical skips in numbered iPhone generations bolster this view, though engineering delays or regulatory hurdles could still impact timelines ahead of the expected early September announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
Apple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
$87,723 Vol.
$87,723 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$87,723 Vol.
$87,723 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 90% probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible Bloomberg reporting and supply chain leaks confirming Apple’s split launch strategy: iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max slated for September alongside a potential foldable iPhone, while the base model slips to spring 2027. Recent developments, including dummy unit photos showing thicker camera modules and leaker claims of Pro-tier RAM upgrades for the standard variant, reinforce expectations of a Pro-led rollout adhering to Apple’s annual flagship cadence. No historical skips in numbered iPhone generations bolster this view, though engineering delays or regulatory hurdles could still impact timelines ahead of the expected early September announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$87,723Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 90% probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible Bloomberg reporting and supply chain leaks confirming Apple’s split launch strategy: iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max slated for September alongside a potential foldable iPhone, while the base model slips to spring 2027. Recent developments, including dummy unit photos showing thicker camera modules and leaker claims of Pro-tier RAM upgrades for the standard variant, reinforce expectations of a Pro-led rollout adhering to Apple’s annual flagship cadence. No historical skips in numbered iPhone generations bolster this view, though engineering delays or regulatory hurdles could still impact timelines ahead of the expected early September announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$87,723Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 90% probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026, driven primarily by credible Bloomberg reporting and supply chain leaks confirming Apple’s split launch strategy: iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max slated for September alongside a potential foldable iPhone, while the base model slips to spring 2027. Recent developments, including dummy unit photos showing thicker camera modules and leaker claims of Pro-tier RAM upgrades for the standard variant, reinforce expectations of a Pro-led rollout adhering to Apple’s annual flagship cadence. No historical skips in numbered iPhone generations bolster this view, though engineering delays or regulatory hurdles could still impact timelines ahead of the expected early September announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti