Apple's longstanding annual hardware refresh cycle anchors the 95% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has launched a new flagship iPhone each September for more than a decade, with component sourcing, manufacturing timelines, and developer ecosystem updates already aligned for the next iteration following the iPhone 17 expected later this year. Supply-chain reports continue to show steady progress on advanced silicon and display technologies without major interruptions. While a sudden shift to multi-year cycles or severe production setbacks could still alter the outcome, no official statements or credible industry signals currently point to such a change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
Apple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
$104,820 Vol.
$104,820 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$104,820 Vol.
$104,820 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding annual hardware refresh cycle anchors the 95% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has launched a new flagship iPhone each September for more than a decade, with component sourcing, manufacturing timelines, and developer ecosystem updates already aligned for the next iteration following the iPhone 17 expected later this year. Supply-chain reports continue to show steady progress on advanced silicon and display technologies without major interruptions. While a sudden shift to multi-year cycles or severe production setbacks could still alter the outcome, no official statements or credible industry signals currently point to such a change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$104,820Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's longstanding annual hardware refresh cycle anchors the 95% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has launched a new flagship iPhone each September for more than a decade, with component sourcing, manufacturing timelines, and developer ecosystem updates already aligned for the next iteration following the iPhone 17 expected later this year. Supply-chain reports continue to show steady progress on advanced silicon and display technologies without major interruptions. While a sudden shift to multi-year cycles or severe production setbacks could still alter the outcome, no official statements or credible industry signals currently point to such a change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$104,820Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's longstanding annual hardware refresh cycle anchors the 95% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. The company has launched a new flagship iPhone each September for more than a decade, with component sourcing, manufacturing timelines, and developer ecosystem updates already aligned for the next iteration following the iPhone 17 expected later this year. Supply-chain reports continue to show steady progress on advanced silicon and display technologies without major interruptions. While a sudden shift to multi-year cycles or severe production setbacks could still alter the outcome, no official statements or credible industry signals currently point to such a change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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