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icon for Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?
Politica·Primarie

Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?

icon for Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?
Politica·Primarie

Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 100.0%

Click Bishop <1%

Dave Bronson <1%

Adam Crum <1%

Polymarket

$2,834 Vol.

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 100.0%

Click Bishop <1%

Dave Bronson <1%

Adam Crum <1%

Polymarket

$2,834 Vol.

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$40 Vol.

No

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$233 Vol.

No

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$40 Vol.

No

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$150 Vol.

No

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$90 Vol.

No

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$121 Vol.

No

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$124 Vol.

No

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$126 Vol.

No

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$95 Vol.

No

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$87 Vol.

No

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$40 Vol.

No

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$284 Vol.

No

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$95 Vol.

No

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$125 Vol.

No

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$704 Vol.

Sì

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$73 Vol.

No

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$150 Vol.

No

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$90 Vol.

No

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$127 Vol.

No

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$40 Vol.

No

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins secured first place in Alaska’s August 18, 2026, open primary for governor by capturing 22.5% of the vote, narrowly ahead of Democratic rival Tom Begich at 20.8%, with Republicans Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson finishing third and fourth. This outcome reflected Kreiss-Tomkins’ stronger performance across Southeast Alaska and rural areas, combined with effective fundraising and a bipartisan legislative record as a former state representative. Begich’s subsequent withdrawal and endorsement on August 29 further consolidated Democratic support behind Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of the ranked-choice general election. Trader consensus at 99% for Kreiss-Tomkins as primary leader stems from these certified vote tallies and the absence of viable pathways for other candidates. Late shifts remain possible only through final certification of outstanding mail ballots or successful legal challenges to results, both of which carry low probability given the margin and established counting procedures.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$2,834
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins secured first place in Alaska’s August 18, 2026, open primary for governor by capturing 22.5% of the vote, narrowly ahead of Democratic rival Tom Begich at 20.8%, with Republicans Bernadette Wilson and Dave Bronson finishing third and fourth. This outcome reflected Kreiss-Tomkins’ stronger performance across Southeast Alaska and rural areas, combined with effective fundraising and a bipartisan legislative record as a former state representative. Begich’s subsequent withdrawal and endorsement on August 29 further consolidated Democratic support behind Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of the ranked-choice general election. Trader consensus at 99% for Kreiss-Tomkins as primary leader stems from these certified vote tallies and the absence of viable pathways for other candidates. Late shifts remain possible only through final certification of outstanding mail ballots or successful legal challenges to results, both of which carry low probability given the margin and established counting procedures.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$2,834
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Correlati

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vincerà le elezioni per governatore dell'Alaska del 2026?

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vincerà le elezioni per governatore dell'Alaska del 2026?

59%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

47%
Sì
icon for Mary Peltola vincerà la corsa al Senato dell'Alaska nel 2026?

Mary Peltola vincerà la corsa al Senato dell'Alaska nel 2026?

64%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" a 100%, seguito da "Click Bishop" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 14, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?" è "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Click Bishop" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi si classificherà primo nelle primarie del Governatore dell'Alaska?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.