US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that established a 60-day roadmap for a final agreement on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and Lebanon de-confliction. High-level talks occurred in Switzerland that month, producing working groups and temporary measures such as a communications line and sanctions waivers, yet the period concluded without a comprehensive deal. As of early September, Iran has pressed for full US compliance with interim terms while tensions persist over Hezbollah operations and nuclear verification disputes. With the December 31 deadline approaching, trader focus remains on whether renewed high-level engagement materializes amid these unresolved issues and any scheduled technical follow-ups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$475,315 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Steve Witkoff
24%
J.D. Vance
23%
Jared Kushner
20%
Abbas Araghchi
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Nick Stewart
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
17%
Kazem Gharibabadi
16%
Ishaq Dar
16%
Mohammed bin Salman
12%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
11%
Rafael Grossi
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
Donald Trump
6%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
2%
$475,315 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$33,284 Vol.
24%
J.D. Vance
$29,329 Vol.
23%
Jared Kushner
$67,674 Vol.
20%
Abbas Araghchi
$19,759 Vol.
20%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$21,466 Vol.
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$17,270 Vol.
18%
Nick Stewart
$12,950 Vol.
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$31,079 Vol.
17%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$19,847 Vol.
16%
Ishaq Dar
$23,559 Vol.
16%
Mohammed bin Salman
$5,526 Vol.
12%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$40,181 Vol.
11%
Rafael Grossi
$36,253 Vol.
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$24,252 Vol.
10%
Marco Rubio
$13,764 Vol.
7%
Donald Trump
$9,806 Vol.
6%
Esmail Qaani
$11,520 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$20,123 Vol.
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
$14,466 Vol.
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$23,208 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that established a 60-day roadmap for a final agreement on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and Lebanon de-confliction. High-level talks occurred in Switzerland that month, producing working groups and temporary measures such as a communications line and sanctions waivers, yet the period concluded without a comprehensive deal. As of early September, Iran has pressed for full US compliance with interim terms while tensions persist over Hezbollah operations and nuclear verification disputes. With the December 31 deadline approaching, trader focus remains on whether renewed high-level engagement materializes amid these unresolved issues and any scheduled technical follow-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$475,315Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that established a 60-day roadmap for a final agreement on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and Lebanon de-confliction. High-level talks occurred in Switzerland that month, producing working groups and temporary measures such as a communications line and sanctions waivers, yet the period concluded without a comprehensive deal. As of early September, Iran has pressed for full US compliance with interim terms while tensions persist over Hezbollah operations and nuclear verification disputes. With the December 31 deadline approaching, trader focus remains on whether renewed high-level engagement materializes amid these unresolved issues and any scheduled technical follow-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$475,315Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that established a 60-day roadmap for a final agreement on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and Lebanon de-confliction. High-level talks occurred in Switzerland that month, producing working groups and temporary measures such as a communications line and sanctions waivers, yet the period concluded without a comprehensive deal. As of early September, Iran has pressed for full US compliance with interim terms while tensions persist over Hezbollah operations and nuclear verification disputes. With the December 31 deadline approaching, trader focus remains on whether renewed high-level engagement materializes amid these unresolved issues and any scheduled technical follow-ups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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