US-Iran diplomacy remains highly fluid amid efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, constrain Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, and ease sanctions, with Oman and other Gulf mediators playing central roles. Escalations in July—including US strikes and Iranian shipping incidents—voided a June memorandum of understanding and paused direct talks, but Washington signaled a halt to attacks in late July to create space for renewed negotiations. Early August statements from President Trump indicated imminent bilateral or technical discussions, despite Iranian denials of current direct engagement and focus on Oman channels. High-level attendance by figures such as Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi would likely require verified de-escalation and a clear agenda before the August 31 window closes. Trader assessments hinge on these mediator signals and any verified resumption of rounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$71,907 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Kazem Gharibabadi
39%
Nick Stewart
48%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
38%
Jared Kushner
35%
Abbas Araghchi
35%
Steve Witkoff
34%
Ishaq Dar
22%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
22%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
J.D. Vance
27%
Marco Rubio
6%
Rafael Grossi
27%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
51%
$71,907 Vol.
Kazem Gharibabadi
$977 Vol.
39%
Nick Stewart
$10 Vol.
48%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$8,916 Vol.
38%
Jared Kushner
$11,014 Vol.
35%
Abbas Araghchi
$6,897 Vol.
35%
Steve Witkoff
$9,580 Vol.
34%
Ishaq Dar
$2,244 Vol.
22%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,599 Vol.
22%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,725 Vol.
16%
J.D. Vance
$5,280 Vol.
27%
Marco Rubio
$6,829 Vol.
6%
Rafael Grossi
$878 Vol.
27%
Pete Hegseth
$2,549 Vol.
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,702 Vol.
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$296 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$5,377 Vol.
2%
Esmail Qaani
$360 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,466 Vol.
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$208 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains highly fluid amid efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, constrain Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, and ease sanctions, with Oman and other Gulf mediators playing central roles. Escalations in July—including US strikes and Iranian shipping incidents—voided a June memorandum of understanding and paused direct talks, but Washington signaled a halt to attacks in late July to create space for renewed negotiations. Early August statements from President Trump indicated imminent bilateral or technical discussions, despite Iranian denials of current direct engagement and focus on Oman channels. High-level attendance by figures such as Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi would likely require verified de-escalation and a clear agenda before the August 31 window closes. Trader assessments hinge on these mediator signals and any verified resumption of rounds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$71,907Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains highly fluid amid efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, constrain Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, and ease sanctions, with Oman and other Gulf mediators playing central roles. Escalations in July—including US strikes and Iranian shipping incidents—voided a June memorandum of understanding and paused direct talks, but Washington signaled a halt to attacks in late July to create space for renewed negotiations. Early August statements from President Trump indicated imminent bilateral or technical discussions, despite Iranian denials of current direct engagement and focus on Oman channels. High-level attendance by figures such as Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi would likely require verified de-escalation and a clear agenda before the August 31 window closes. Trader assessments hinge on these mediator signals and any verified resumption of rounds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$71,907Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains highly fluid amid efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, constrain Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, and ease sanctions, with Oman and other Gulf mediators playing central roles. Escalations in July—including US strikes and Iranian shipping incidents—voided a June memorandum of understanding and paused direct talks, but Washington signaled a halt to attacks in late July to create space for renewed negotiations. Early August statements from President Trump indicated imminent bilateral or technical discussions, despite Iranian denials of current direct engagement and focus on Oman channels. High-level attendance by figures such as Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi would likely require verified de-escalation and a clear agenda before the August 31 window closes. Trader assessments hinge on these mediator signals and any verified resumption of rounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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