The January 2026 closure of TikTok’s U.S. divestiture into a majority American-owned joint venture has driven market consensus toward Oracle and its co-founder Larry Ellison. The structure, finalized days before the Trump administration’s extended deadline, places Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as lead investors each holding 15 percent stakes, with ByteDance retaining under 20 percent and data secured in Oracle’s U.S. cloud. This outcome followed months of negotiations addressing national-security requirements on algorithm control, content moderation, and user data, after repeated extensions of the original 2025 divest-or-ban law. No further acquisition bids or regulatory reversals have emerged in the subsequent months, leaving limited scope for alternative buyers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNo official TikTok US acquisition announced by deadline
By the market's resolution deadline, no official announcement was made confirming any individual or entity's acquisition of TikTok US operations, leading to the market's low final prices across all outcomes.
President Donald Trump praises TikTok US deal on social media
President Trump publicly praised the finalized TikTok deal on social media, highlighting his role in facilitating the agreement and expressing hope that he will be remembered by TikTok users. His involvement and endorsement underscored the political significance of the deal and reassured markets and users about TikTok's continued operation in the US.
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced it signed agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX to create a new US-based entity to operate TikTok in the United States. This deal was designed to comply with US national security concerns and avoid a ban, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake. The new venture will have a majority American board and will retrain TikTok's algorithm on US user data. This official announcement ended years of uncertainty and regulatory pressure, causing a sharp drop in acquisition speculation prices for all named potential acquirers.
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity
TikTok completed the deal to spin off its U.S. operations into a new joint venture with American investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX. This official announcement confirmed the formation of the new U.S. entity under defined safeguards, resolving the market uncertainty about TikTok's ownership and operation in the U.S.
TikTok finalizes deal to keep operating in US
TikTok announced the completion of the deal to establish a U.S.-based version of the app under majority American control, ending a yearslong battle over access to the app in the U.S. The new joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as major investors, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake, confirming the official acquisition structure.
TikTok deal praised by Donald Trump on social media
Former President Donald Trump publicly praised the TikTok deal on social media, thanking Chinese leader Xi Jinping for approving the deal and expressing hope to be remembered by TikTok users. Trump's endorsement highlighted the political significance of the deal and its resolution of the US regulatory impasse, influencing market sentiment.
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced the completion of a deal to spin off its US operations into a new joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX, each holding 15% stakes, while ByteDance retains 19.9%. The new entity will operate under safeguards for national security, including data protection and algorithm retraining on US data. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban, causing market prices for acquisition outcomes to stabilize.
Walmart considered a potential bidder for TikTok U.S. operations
Walmart surges to 28%22%
Walmart was reported as a possible contender to acquire TikTok's U.S. business, leading to a temporary price surge in the market for Walmart's acquisition outcome.
Walmart's bid for TikTok US operations gains market attention
Walmart surges to 29%27%
Walmart's involvement in the bidding process for TikTok's US operations caused a significant price spike in its market outcome, reflecting investor optimism about its acquisition chances.
Oracle and Walmart secure 60% stake in TikTok U.S. operations
Walmart drops to 2%9%
Oracle and Walmart agreed to purchase a combined 60% stake in TikTok’s U.S. operations, establishing TikTok Global, a U.S.-headquartered company responsible for stateside operations. This official confirmation led to market adjustments reflecting the reduced likelihood of other bidders acquiring TikTok.
TikTok finalizes U.S. joint venture deal with Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX investors
Microsoft drops to 2%7%
TikTok completed a deal to create a new American entity with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as managing investors, each holding 15% ownership. The joint venture will operate under defined safeguards for national security and retrain TikTok's algorithm on U.S. user data, resolving years of uncertainty about U.S. access to the platform.
TikTok finalizes U.S. joint venture deal with Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX investors
TikTok completed a deal to create a new American joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, each owning 15%, resolving years of U.S. regulatory uncertainty and avoiding a potential ban. The deal includes retraining TikTok's algorithm on U.S. user data and comprehensive data protections.
TikTok finalizes U.S. joint venture deal with Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX investors
TikTok completed a deal to create a new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, forming a majority-American ownership structure with defined national security safeguards. This official announcement resolved the years-long U.S. access battle and ended the need for any acquisition.
Elon Musk posts on TikTok amid speculation of acquisition interest
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) dips to 2%4%
A verified TikTok account with Elon Musk's handle posted for the first time, fueling speculation about his interest in TikTok, but no official acquisition agreement was announced, and market prices for Musk remained low.
Elon Musk joins TikTok with verified account amid acquisition rumors
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) rises to 6%3%
Elon Musk created a verified TikTok account, fueling speculation about his intentions and potential acquisition plans, which briefly increased market interest in his acquisition outcome.
Elon Musk creates verified TikTok account, sparking speculation but no acquisition
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) dips to 4%2%
Elon Musk appeared on TikTok with a verified account, fueling speculation about his interest in acquiring TikTok, but no official acquisition agreement was announced, causing minor market movements and price fluctuations.
White House in talks with Oracle and Microsoft over TikTok acquisition
Microsoft drops to 1%5%
Reports indicated ongoing negotiations involving the White House, Oracle, and Microsoft regarding TikTok's U.S. operations, with Walmart reportedly not involved due to high valuation. This reflected continued political and strategic interest in TikTok's ownership but did not lead to a new acquisition announcement.
Elon Musk speculated as potential TikTok buyer
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) jumps to 10%5%
Speculation about Elon Musk or his company X acquiring TikTok US operations caused a temporary price spike for the Elon Musk / X outcome. No official announcement followed, and the price later dropped.
Walmart emerges as strong contender in TikTok US acquisition race
Walmart surges to 41%39%
Walmart's acquisition probability surged sharply, reflecting reports and speculation about its interest and potential bid for TikTok's US operations, impacting market dynamics and investor expectations.
Walmart's acquisition chances spike amid TikTok US sale talks
Walmart surges to 31%28%
Walmart's market price jumped significantly as it was reported to be competing for TikTok's US operations, reflecting investor optimism about its potential deal.
Walmart emerges as a leading bidder for TikTok US operations
Walmart surges to 37%34%
Walmart's bid for TikTok US operations gained significant attention, causing a sharp price increase for the Walmart outcome. However, later reports indicated Walmart was not involved in the final deal, leading to a price decline.
Microsoft's market price peaks amid TikTok acquisition speculation
Microsoft surges to 39%33%
Microsoft's price surged to a peak, reflecting renewed market speculation about its potential acquisition of TikTok's US operations, possibly linked to ongoing negotiations or regulatory developments.
Microsoft's bid for TikTok US operations gains market attention
Microsoft surges to 38%31%
Microsoft's acquisition probability rose significantly amid reports of its involvement in acquisition talks, reflecting its status as a key potential buyer in the competitive process.
Microsoft emerges as leading bidder for TikTok US operations
Microsoft surges to 38%32%
Reports indicated Microsoft as a frontrunner in the TikTok US acquisition race, causing a sharp price increase for Microsoft in the market. This reflected growing confidence in Microsoft's chances to secure the deal.
Microsoft emerges as leading bidder for TikTok U.S. operations
Microsoft surges to 30%23%
Reports indicated Microsoft as a frontrunner in acquiring TikTok's U.S. operations, causing a significant price spike for Microsoft in the market.
Microsoft and Amazon considered top contenders for TikTok acquisition
Microsoft jumps to 17%11%
Market speculation intensified around Microsoft and Amazon as leading candidates to acquire TikTok US operations, reflected in price increases for these outcomes. No official deal was announced, and prices later declined.
Jury finds Elon Musk liable for misleading investors during Twitter purchase
A San Francisco jury found Musk liable for misleading investors by deliberately driving down Twitter's stock price before his 2022 acquisition, which may impact perceptions of Musk's credibility in acquisition ventures.
Microsoft emerges as strong contender for TikTok US acquisition
Microsoft surges to 35%29%
Microsoft's acquisition odds surged sharply as reports indicated its active involvement in bidding for TikTok's US operations. Market prices reflected increased confidence in Microsoft as a buyer.
Market speculation peaks on Elon Musk's potential TikTok acquisition
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) surges to 20%17%
Market prices for Elon Musk's acquisition option surged sharply due to renewed rumors and reports suggesting Chinese officials might facilitate Musk's acquisition of TikTok's U.S. operations, reflecting heightened investor interest.
AppLovin announces plans to build own social platform after failed TikTok bid
AppLovin dips to 2%3%
Following its unsuccessful attempt to acquire TikTok's US operations, AppLovin announced plans to develop its own social networking platform, reflecting its exit from the TikTok acquisition race and impacting its market price.
AppLovin announces plans to build own social media platform after failed TikTok bid
Following its unsuccessful bid to acquire TikTok’s US operations, AppLovin announced plans to develop its own social networking platform, signaling a strategic pivot away from acquisition toward competition in social media.
Elon Musk confirms talks to acquire TikTok, calls for bidding war
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 5%6%
US President Donald Trump stated that Elon Musk was in talks to acquire TikTok and expressed a desire for a bidding war over the app, raising market speculation about Musk's potential acquisition despite no deal materializing.
TikTok finalizes U.S. joint venture deal with Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX investors
TikTok completed a deal to create a new American entity to operate in the U.S., avoiding a potential ban. The new venture will be majority-owned by American investors including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake. This official announcement resolved the market question well before the June 30, 2026 deadline.
TikTok Officially Signs US Operations Divestiture Deal
TikTok officially signed a deal to divest a portion of its U.S. operations, ending the prolonged legal battle. This official announcement likely caused the market to settle at 1% for all options as the uncertainty was resolved.
TikTok signs deal to divest part of US operations amid acquisition talks
TikTok officially signed a deal to divest a portion of its US operations, with multiple investors competing for acquisition. This formal step increased market activity and speculation about potential buyers including major tech firms.
TikTok US operations reportedly sign deal with Oracle-led investor group
Microsoft rises to 7%1%
Reports indicated TikTok's US unit signed a deal with a consortium led by Oracle, signaling progress in divestment efforts and impacting market prices for Microsoft and other bidders.
President Trump Announces Xi Jinping Approval of TikTok Deal
President Trump announced that President Xi Jinping of China had given approval of a TikTok deal, which would allow a consortium of U.S. investors to control the platform. This positive development may have briefly boosted market sentiment.
Microsoft confirmed in talks to acquire TikTok US operations
Microsoft drops to 5%6%
Microsoft confirmed it was in talks with ByteDance to acquire TikTok's US arm, adding to the competitive landscape of potential buyers, though no acquisition was finalized by the deadline.
TikTok US deal valuation soars amid competing investor bids
TechCrunch reported that multiple investors competed to purchase TikTok's US business, with valuations rising to $60 billion, reflecting ongoing uncertainty and competition in the acquisition market.
TikTok's U.S. operations sold to consortium led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
Meta dips to 1%3%
The sale of TikTok's U.S. operations to a consortium led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX was finalized, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake. The new entity will operate under strict data and algorithm controls to address national security concerns, ending years of regulatory uncertainty.
TikTok deal includes $10 billion fee paid to Trump administration
Reports emerged that investors in the new U.S.-controlled TikTok joint venture, including Oracle and Silver Lake, agreed to pay a $10 billion fee to the Trump administration as part of the deal. This unusual transaction fee highlighted the political nature of the acquisition and the administration's role in brokering the deal.
TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC officially established
Microsoft dips to 1%3%
TikTok announced the official formation of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, a new American entity controlling TikTok's US operations with majority US ownership, resolving the acquisition question.
TikTok announces agreement to establish American version with $10B payment to US government
Walmart rises to 7%4%
TikTok stated that ByteDance reached an agreement to create an American version of TikTok, paying $10 billion to the Trump administration, further confirming the US-based joint venture approach rather than Musk's acquisition.
TikTok confirms ByteDance agreement to establish American version of TikTok
TikTok confirmed ByteDance reached agreement to establish American version of TikTok, confirming the acquisition. All options price dropped to 1% as the official acquisition was completed.
TikTok USDS deal closing date set for January 22, 2026
The closing date for TikTok's US sale was set for January 22, 2026, marking the anticipated transfer of majority control to American investors. This official timeline reinforced market expectations about the deal's completion.
TikTok dismisses Elon Musk acquisition reports as 'pure fiction'
TikTok publicly denied reports that Elon Musk was pursuing a deal to acquire TikTok's US operations, calling the claims 'pure fiction' and reducing market confidence in Musk's acquisition chances.
TikTok announces USDS joint venture deal with American investor consortium
TikTok officially announced the TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC had been established to comply with President Trump's executive order, confirming the sale of TikTok's U.S. operations to an American investor group and resolving the market question.
TikTok establishes TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC
TikTok officially announced the TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC to comply with Trump's executive order, confirming the sale of US operations to an American investor group. This finalization event settled the market for all listed acquirers.
TikTok signs agreements with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to form TikTok U.S. joint venture
Microsoft drops to 2%9%
TikTok finalized a joint venture with major investors including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to operate in the U.S. under safeguards for national security. This official announcement resolved the market by confirming an acquisition of TikTok's US operations.
TikTok announces establishment of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC
TikTok announced that TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC had been officially established to comply with President Trump's executive order approving the sale of TikTok's US operations to an American investor group. The new entity is majority American-owned, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as key investors, and ByteDance retaining a minority stake.
President Trump approves TikTok US sale deal to American investors
President Donald Trump signed an executive order allowing the TikTok US operations sale to proceed, approving the formation of the American-led joint venture. This executive order extended the deadline and enabled the deal to close by January 23, 2026.
TikTok names Adam Presser CEO of new US joint venture
As part of the new TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, Adam Presser, former head of operations at TikTok, was appointed CEO. This leadership appointment was part of the formal establishment of the new American entity overseeing TikTok's US operations.
TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC officially established to operate TikTok U.S. business
The new U.S. joint venture entity was formally established, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX owning 45%, ByteDance retaining about 20%, and the rest held by other investors, confirming the acquisition structure and resolving the market.
TikTok US Arm Acquired by Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX Joint Venture
TikTok's U.S. operations were officially acquired by the Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX joint venture, formalizing the deal required by U.S. national security legislation. This resolution ended the long-standing TikTok ownership saga.
TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC officially established to operate TikTok US
TikTok announced the official formation of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, a new American entity controlling TikTok's US operations with majority US ownership, complying with President Trump's executive order and resolving the acquisition question.
TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC formally established with Oracle and Walmart
Walmart rises to 8%1%
TikTok confirmed the formal establishment of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, an American-led investor group including Oracle and Walmart, following an executive order by President Trump approving the sale. This official announcement solidified the ownership structure and influenced market prices.
TikTok deal closes, transferring US operations to American investor consortium
The transaction closed, transferring control of TikTok’s US user data and operations to a new joint venture owned by American investors including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, ending the de jure ban and confirming the acquisition.
TikTok signs deal to form new US unit with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok signed binding agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ensuring continued operation in the U.S. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats, including a potential ban, and was a critical step toward compliance with U.S. national security concerns.
TikTok announces formation of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC with American investors
TikTok officially announced the establishment of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, a new American entity with majority American ownership including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, resolving the regulatory battle and ending acquisition speculation for listed bidders.
TikTok denies reports of Elon Musk acquisition as 'pure fiction'
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) dips to 2%3%
TikTok publicly refuted rumors that Elon Musk was acquiring its US operations, calling such claims 'pure fiction,' which dampened market enthusiasm for Musk's acquisition chances and contributed to price declines.
TikTok Denies Elon Musk Acquisition Reports
TikTok reiterated that Chinese officials were not considering selling TikTok's U.S. operations to Elon Musk, reinforcing the denial of Musk as a potential buyer. This contributed to the market's price decline.
Bloomberg reports Elon Musk considered as potential TikTok US buyer
Bloomberg reported that Chinese officials were exploring the possibility of selling TikTok's U.S. operations to Elon Musk's social media platform X, though TikTok denied these reports as "pure fiction." This speculation caused some market movement but was later dismissed by official statements.
TikTok US Deal Finalized with Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX Consortium
TikTok officially finalized the $14 billion deal to sell its U.S. operations to a joint venture led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, with the agreement set to close on January 22. This formalized the acquisition required by U.S. national security law.
TikTok announces formation of U.S. joint venture to comply with executive order
Microsoft dips to 6%1%
TikTok announced the establishment of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC to comply with U.S. government requirements, signaling progress toward a U.S.-based ownership structure and temporarily easing regulatory pressure.
TikTok signs deal to sell US operations to consortium including Oracle and Silver Lake
Amazon drops to 2%9%
TikTok signed a memorandum of understanding to divest its US operations to a consortium of American investors including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, marking a major step toward resolving the US ownership dispute and avoiding a ban.
TikTok signs US sale deal with American investor group
TikTok announced a joint venture deal with American investors to divest US operations, moving toward finalization by January 22, 2026. This confirmed the market's resolution path away from any of the listed acquirers.
TikTok signs agreements to create new U.S. joint venture led by Oracle
Amazon jumps to 14%11%
TikTok announced it had signed binding agreements with a consortium led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to form a new U.S. joint venture, initiating the process to separate from Chinese parent ByteDance and comply with U.S. national security laws. This news increased expectations for Oracle's acquisition and reduced uncertainty about TikTok's U.S. future.
TikTok signs binding agreements to sell U.S. operations to investor group
Microsoft rises to 7%1%
ByteDance signed binding agreements to transfer control of TikTok's U.S. operations to a consortium including Oracle and private equity firms, marking a major step to avoid a U.S. ban and ending years of uncertainty. This news caused a significant market reaction favoring the involved investors.
TikTok signs Trump-backed deal to avoid US ban
TikTok formed a joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to retain US operations, confirming the acquisition. All options price dropped to 1% as the official acquisition was completed.
Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX Form TikTok US Joint Venture
TikTok signed a $14 billion deal to sell its U.S. operations to a joint venture led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and Abu Dhabi-based MGX, formalizing the acquisition. This deal was designed to comply with U.S. national security laws requiring divestment of Chinese ownership.
TikTok denies reports of US operations sale to Elon Musk as 'pure fiction'
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) dips to 2%4%
TikTok officially dismissed rumors of selling its US operations to Elon Musk, calling such reports 'pure fiction.' This denial tempered market enthusiasm and caused a price drop for Musk's acquisition odds.
ByteDance signs binding agreements to hand control of TikTok US operations to American investors
ByteDance signed binding agreements with investors including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to form a new US-based entity, moving toward avoiding a US ban and ending years of uncertainty, causing market price shifts.
TikTok signs deal to divest U.S. operations to American investor consortium
TikTok officially signed agreements to form a new U.S. joint venture with American investors including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX, ending years of regulatory uncertainty and effectively resolving the acquisition question.
Elon Musk's $44 Billion X Deal with Twitter Completed
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) dips to 10%1%
Elon Musk completed his acquisition of X (formerly Twitter) for $44 billion, a major event that likely influenced market perceptions of Musk's ability to pursue TikTok. This may have reduced investor confidence in Musk as a TikTok buyer.
TikTok signs deal to divest US operations to American investors
Microsoft dips to 4%1%
TikTok officially signed agreements with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to form a new US joint venture, ending years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban.
TikTok signs deal with Oracle-led consortium to avoid US ban
Walmart rises to 6%4%
TikTok reached a deal to form a joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and others to take over part of its US operations, including data protection and content moderation, signaling a move away from Musk's acquisition possibility.
TikTok US Unit Deal With Oracle-Led Investor Group Reported
A deal was reportedly signed to sell TikTok's US operations to a US investor consortium, effectively resolving the market uncertainty and causing prices for all options to drop to 1%.
AppLovin's market price surges amid TikTok acquisition rumors
AppLovin surges to 44%39%
AppLovin's price peaked significantly, likely due to market speculation about its involvement or interest in acquiring TikTok's US operations, reflecting investor optimism about its potential role.
TikTok signs deal to divest part of U.S. operations amid acquisition talks
Microsoft drops to 1%6%
TikTok officially agreed to divest a portion of its U.S. business, fueling speculation about potential buyers including Elon Musk and others, which caused price fluctuations in the market.
TikTok finalizes deal to form new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 2%9%
TikTok announced a partnership with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX to spin off its U.S. operations into a new entity, removing the immediate threat of a forced sale or ban and lowering market expectations for a takeover by any listed buyer.
TikTok signs deal to divest part of U.S. operations amid acquisition talks
TikTok officially signed a deal to divest a portion of its U.S. operations, fueling speculation about potential buyers and increasing market activity. However, no specific buyer was confirmed, and Musk's price remained low.
TikTok US operations sale speculation boosts Amazon acquisition odds
Amazon jumps to 14%11%
Speculation about TikTok's US sale increased interest in Amazon as a potential buyer, with market prices rising significantly. Amazon was considered a strong contender due to its tech and media presence.
TikTok signs partial divestment deal forming TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC
Walmart jumps to 7%5%
TikTok officially signed a deal to divest a portion of its U.S. operations, leading to the formation of TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC with Oracle, Walmart, and other investors holding stakes. This brought stability to TikTok's U.S. operations and impacted market prices, especially for Walmart and Oracle-related outcomes.
Bloomberg reports Elon Musk's X platform may acquire TikTok US operations
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) rises to 6%1%
Bloomberg cited sources saying Musk's social media platform X could take over TikTok's US operations, valuing the business at $40–50 billion. This report sparked market interest in Musk's acquisition chances, though funding and deal details were unclear.
Amazon reportedly interested in TikTok acquisition with $46 billion valuation
Amazon drops to 6%5%
Bloomberg reported Amazon's interest in TikTok acquisition, citing a $46 billion valuation, which contributed to market price fluctuations as investors considered various acquisition possibilities.
Reports emerge of Elon Musk's X platform potentially acquiring TikTok US operations
Amazon surges to 46%43%
Bloomberg reported that Elon Musk's social media platform X might take over TikTok's US operations, valuing the business at $40–50 billion. This speculation caused a significant price spike for Amazon and other bidders, reflecting increased market interest in acquisition possibilities.
Bloomberg reports Elon Musk's X platform may acquire TikTok US operations
Bloomberg cited sources saying Elon Musk's social media platform X was being considered to take over TikTok's US operations, estimated at $40–50 billion. This report sparked market interest in Musk's acquisition chances, though funding and deal details were unclear.
EU fines Elon Musk's X $140 million for content rule breaches
The European Union fined Elon Musk's social media platform X for deceptive practices related to verification badges and transparency. This negative regulatory event likely dampened market enthusiasm for Musk's potential TikTok acquisition, contributing to a decline in his market probability.
TikTok signs partial divestment deal for US operations
In December 2025, TikTok officially signed a deal to divest a portion of its US business, initiating the process to comply with US national security laws and opening the door for American investors to acquire majority control. This announcement increased market interest and speculation about potential buyers.
TikTok US Unit Deal Reported With Oracle-Led Group
TechCrunch reported that TikTok's US operations were reportedly being sold to an Oracle-led investor group, shifting focus away from Musk. This caused a price drop across all outcomes as the Musk acquisition prospect faded.
TikTok US operations reportedly sign deal with Oracle-led investor group
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) dips to 3%2%
Reports emerged that TikTok's US operations had signed a deal with a consortium led by Oracle, signaling progress in the divestment process and reducing market confidence in Elon Musk's acquisition chances.
U.S. investors purchase majority stake in TikTok U.S. operations
A consortium of U.S. investors completed a deal to acquire a majority stake in TikTok's U.S. operations, confirming the market's expectation that Musk would not be the acquirer and leading to low prices for Musk and others.
Trump signs executive order approving consortium deal for TikTok US operations
Microsoft drops to 6%5%
President Trump signed an executive order approving a deal for a consortium of U.S. investors to acquire TikTok's US operations, signaling progress in the divestment process and affecting market prices for bidders including Microsoft and Walmart.
Larry Ellison poised to become major TikTok US investor
Meta rises to 5%1%
Reports indicated Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison would take a significant role as an investor in the TikTok US deal, with Oracle managing algorithm retraining. This reinforced Oracle's leadership in the acquisition consortium and influenced market confidence.
Criticism arises over foreign involvement and valuation in TikTok US deal
The Washington Post reported criticism regarding foreign investment stakes and the high valuation of TikTok's US spin-off, adding complexity to the acquisition process and influencing market sentiment negatively for some bidders.
Walmart and Oracle secure combined 60% stake in TikTok U.S. operations
Walmart rises to 6%1%
Reports confirmed that Oracle and Walmart agreed to purchase a combined 60% stake in TikTok's U.S. operations, ensuring the platform remains available to American users and addressing national security concerns by placing TikTok’s U.S. operations under American control.
Trump orders TikTok sale to U.S. investors including Larry Ellison and Michael Dell
Trump's executive order formalized the sale of TikTok's U.S. operations to a consortium including Larry Ellison, Michael Dell, and Rupert Murdoch, with ByteDance retaining less than 20%, and Oracle overseeing U.S. user data security.
Trump expected to sign executive order approving TikTok US divestment deal
Walmart dips to 1%4%
President Donald Trump was expected to sign an executive order confirming that a deal to divest TikTok's US operations would meet legal requirements, providing regulatory clarity and impacting market confidence in bidders.
President Trump signs executive order approving TikTok US sale
Walmart rises to 5%4%
President Trump signed an executive order approving the sale of TikTok's US business to the American consortium, including Oracle and Silver Lake, officially endorsing the deal and removing the threat of a ban. This was a critical step toward deal finalization.
President Trump signs executive order approving TikTok sale plan
President Trump signed an executive order declaring the plan to sell TikTok's U.S. operations to U.S. investors meets national security requirements, valuing the deal at $14 billion and extending ByteDance's divestiture deadline to December 16.
Trump signs executive order formalizing TikTok U.S. operations deal with American investors
Meta rises to 5%1%
President Trump signed an executive order that formalized the deal handing control of TikTok's U.S. operations to a consortium of American investors including Oracle and Silver Lake, solidifying the market's shift away from Musk.
Trump signs executive order approving TikTok U.S. sale, valuing it at $14 billion
President Trump signed an executive order declaring the plan to sell TikTok's U.S. operations to American investors meets U.S. requirements, valuing the deal at $14 billion and confirming the ownership structure with ByteDance holding less than 20%. This solidified the market's view of the deal's inevitability.
Details emerge on TikTok U.S. ownership including Dell and Murdoch involvement
Reports detailed the new TikTok U.S. ownership including prominent American figures such as Dell CEO Michael Dell and Rupert and Lachlan Murdoch, alongside Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, confirming the consortium's composition and reinforcing the market's expectations.
White House says TikTok will be majority-owned and controlled by U.S. investors
Senior White House officials stated that the TikTok deal ensures majority American ownership and U.S. control over the algorithm, with a new U.S.-based joint venture and board dominated by Americans, complying with national security laws.
White House announces preliminary deal for U.S. investors to acquire TikTok
Senior White House officials revealed a preliminary agreement for an American investor group to acquire TikTok’s U.S. operations, with ByteDance retaining less than 20% and Americans holding majority board seats, aiming to prevent a ban.
White House announces deal for U.S. joint venture to acquire TikTok U.S. operations
Senior White House officials announced a preliminary deal establishing a new U.S.-based joint venture with majority American ownership to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations. Oracle was named as the security partner controlling TikTok's core algorithm and data storage, addressing national security concerns and preventing a potential ban.
Deal announced for U.S. investors including Oracle and Silver Lake to take over TikTok U.S. operations
Meta rises to 5%2%
A framework deal was announced for a consortium led by Oracle and Silver Lake to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations, causing a rise in confidence for investors other than Musk and a decline in Musk's market price.
Reports highlight multiple bidders including Microsoft, Walmart, Amazon for TikTok US
TechCrunch reported that Microsoft, Walmart, Amazon, and others were competing to acquire TikTok's US operations, fueling market speculation and price movements. The wide field of bidders increased uncertainty, reflected in fluctuating market prices for these outcomes.
Multiple bidders including Amazon, Microsoft, Walmart compete for TikTok US acquisition
Amazon drops to 3%8%
TechCrunch reported that Amazon, Microsoft, Walmart, AppLovin, and others were actively competing to acquire TikTok's US operations, fueling market speculation and price fluctuations among these bidders.
TikTok reaches preliminary deal to keep operating in US under American ownership
The White House announced TikTok reached a preliminary deal to sell its U.S. operations to an American investor group, delaying a U.S. ban and allowing the deal to close, which supported market confidence in a U.S. acquisition.
AppLovin submits bid for TikTok assets outside China
AppLovin dips to 5%1%
AppLovin, a marketing platform valued at $204 billion, submitted a bid for TikTok assets outside of China, proposing a larger deal that would merge with TikTok global outside China. This bid added competitive pressure in the acquisition process but did not result in a final deal.
Oracle to oversee TikTok algorithm and security in US deal
The White House confirmed Oracle would manage TikTok's US algorithm and security, licensing a copy of the recommendation algorithm to the new US joint venture. This addressed national security concerns and solidified Oracle's central role in the acquisition.
US and China reach agreement framework for TikTok US operations ownership
Walmart dips to 2%3%
The US and China governments discussed and reached a framework deal to keep TikTok operating in the US under new ownership not affiliated with China, involving investors like Oracle and Silver Lake, reducing speculation about Musk's acquisition.
White House confirms Americans will control TikTok US operations board
The White House announced that TikTok's US operations would be controlled by Americans with national security credentials, addressing privacy concerns and impacting market confidence in a US-based acquisition. This reinforced the likelihood of a US entity acquiring TikTok's US business, affecting prices for major contenders.
White House announces Americans to control TikTok U.S. operations board
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) rises to 5%2%
The U.S. government announced that TikTok's U.S. operations would be controlled by American board members with national security credentials, reducing the likelihood of Musk's acquisition and stabilizing the market for other investors.
White House confirms U.S. control over TikTok’s algorithm in acquisition
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the United States will have control over TikTok’s algorithm as part of the acquisition of its U.S. operations, a key national security component of the deal that reassured investors and influenced market prices.
AppLovin submits bid to acquire TikTok assets outside China
AppLovin dips to 4%2%
AppLovin's CEO announced a bid to acquire TikTok assets outside China, proposing a larger deal than the current Oracle-led one, which influenced market speculation and price movements for AppLovin's acquisition chances.
Trumpy billionaires including Larry Ellison close in on TikTok takeover
Meta drops to 3%7%
Reports emerged that Oracle's Larry Ellison and other Trump-friendly billionaires were leading a consortium to acquire TikTok's US operations, increasing market speculation about their chances and impacting prices for other bidders like Elon Musk and Meta.
Trump Announces U.S.-China Agreement to Keep TikTok Operating
President Trump announced a breakthrough agreement between the U.S. and China to keep TikTok operating, ending months of trade tensions and trade war fears. This major diplomatic development signaled a potential resolution to the TikTok ownership dispute.
TikTok US operations acquisition deal announced by Trump-backed joint venture
TikTok reached a deal with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to retain control of US operations, resolving the market. All options price dropped to 1% as the official acquisition was completed.
Oracle, Silver Lake consortium to control TikTok US operations
Amazon drops to 2%9%
Reports confirmed that Oracle, Silver Lake, and other investors would form a consortium controlling TikTok's US operations under the new framework, with majority American board members. This clarified the likely acquirers and reduced uncertainty in the market.
TikTok finalizes deal to form new American entity with Oracle, Silver Lake, MGX investors
TikTok signed agreements with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ending years of uncertainty about the platform's U.S. operations. This official announcement directly resolved the market question about TikTok acquisition.
Reports emerge of TikTok US operations sale framework involving Oracle-led consortium
The Wall Street Journal reported that the US and China reached a framework deal for TikTok's US operations to be sold to a consortium including Oracle, sparking initial market speculation and price movements.
Bloomberg reports TikTok U.S. operations to be acquired by Oracle and Silver Lake
Bloomberg reported that TikTok's U.S. operations would be acquired by a consortium including Oracle and Silver Lake, confirming the involvement of major American investors and supporting the official framework agreement.
Trump announces U.S.-China agreement to keep TikTok operational in U.S.
President Donald Trump announced a framework agreement between the U.S. and China allowing TikTok to continue operating in the U.S. under a new 80% American-controlled ownership, extending the divestiture deadline to December 16, 2025. This announcement marked a major step toward resolving the TikTok ownership dispute and influenced market prices for acquisition outcomes.
Reports predict Elon Musk will try to buy TikTok amid US ban threat
The Information published predictions that Elon Musk would attempt to acquire TikTok's US operations as the app faced a looming US ban, fueling market speculation and initial interest in Musk's bid.
Trump administration pushes for TikTok U.S. sale to American companies
The Trump administration sought to force a sale of TikTok's U.S. operations to U.S.-based companies, naming Microsoft, Oracle, and Walmart as leading contenders. This government pressure initiated the competitive bidding process and influenced market expectations.
U.S. and China reach framework agreement for TikTok U.S. operations sale
President Trump announced a deal extending ByteDance's divestiture deadline and paving the way for a U.S.-controlled consortium to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations, addressing national security concerns and allowing the app to continue operating in the U.S.
U.S. and China reach framework agreement for TikTok's U.S. operations to be 80% American-owned
President Donald Trump announced a deal allowing TikTok to continue operating in the U.S. under a new American-controlled ownership structure, extending the divestiture deadline and forming a consortium including Oracle and Microsoft. This announcement temporarily boosted market confidence in acquisition prospects, especially for Microsoft and Walmart.
TikTok divestment process begins amid U.S. national security concerns
The Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act passed in 2024 mandated that Chinese-owned TikTok divest majority control of its U.S. operations or face a ban, setting the stage for the acquisition market.
Reports emerge that Chinese officials consider selling TikTok U.S. operations to Elon Musk
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 3%8%
Reports surfaced that Chinese officials were contemplating selling TikTok's U.S. division to Elon Musk to avoid a U.S. ban, causing a sharp drop in Musk's market price from 11% to 3%. This speculation increased market uncertainty about the acquisition outcome.
Trump administration extends TikTok divestiture deadline to December 16, 2025
President Trump issued an executive order further delaying enforcement of the law requiring TikTok’s divestiture until December 16, 2025, allowing more time for the deal to be finalized. This extension reduced immediate ban risks and influenced market stability.
US and China reach framework deal for TikTok US ownership
The US Treasury Secretary announced a framework agreement with China to allow American ownership of TikTok's US operations, paving the way for a deal to avoid a ban. This major diplomatic breakthrough shifted market expectations towards a US-based consortium acquisition.
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