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icon for Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Politica·Kash Patel

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

icon for Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
Politica·Kash Patel

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

$23,042,537 Vol.

30 giu 2025
Polymarket

$23,042,537 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$3,251,258 Vol.

Yes

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$5,257,374 Vol.

Yes

icon for RFK Jr.

RFK Jr.

$3,605,358 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mehmet Oz

Mehmet Oz

$237,197 Vol.

Yes

icon for Kash Patel

Kash Patel

$2,746,033 Vol.

Yes

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$3,227,787 Vol.

No

icon for Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$1,203,871 Vol.

Yes

icon for Brooke Rollins

Brooke Rollins

$125,910 Vol.

Yes

icon for John Ratcliffe

John Ratcliffe

$78,381 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mike Huckabee

Mike Huckabee

$763,816 Vol.

Yes

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$1,207,022 Vol.

No

icon for Lee Zeldin

Lee Zeldin

$65,914 Vol.

Yes

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$131,062 Vol.

Yes

icon for Doug Collins

Doug Collins

$57,185 Vol.

Yes

icon for Sean Duffy

Sean Duffy

$84,260 Vol.

Yes

icon for Chris Wright

Chris Wright

$306,304 Vol.

Yes

icon for Pam Bondi

Pam Bondi

$161,796 Vol.

Yes

icon for Scott Bessent

Scott Bessent

$148,611 Vol.

Yes

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$189,044 Vol.

Yes

icon for Russell Vought

Russell Vought

$91,686 Vol.

Yes

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$46,383 Vol.

Yes

icon for Scott Turner

Scott Turner

$56,284 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gabbard's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If RFK's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mehmet Oz is confirmed as Administrator of Medicare and Medicaid by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Oz's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel is confirmed as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Patel's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matt Gaetz is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gaetz's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lori Chavez-DeRemer is confirmed as Labor Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Chavez-DeRemer's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brooke Rollins is confirmed as Agriculture Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rollins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe is confirmed as director of the CIA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Ratcliffe's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Huckabee is confirmed as the U.S. ambassador to Israel by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Huckabee's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elise Stefanik is confirmed as United Nations ambassador by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stefanik's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Zeldin is confirmed as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zeldin's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem is confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Noem’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Collins is confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Collins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sean Duffy is confirmed as Secretary of Transportation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Duffy's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Wright is confirmed as Secretary of Energy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Wright's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bondi's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent is confirmed as Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bessent's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Burgum is confirmed as Secretary of Interior by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Burgum's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Vought is confirmed as director of the Office of Management and Budget by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Vought's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio is confirmed as Secretary of State by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rubio's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Turner is confirmed as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Turner's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,042,537
Data di fine
30 giu 2025
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2024, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gabbard's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If RFK's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mehmet Oz is confirmed as Administrator of Medicare and Medicaid by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Oz's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel is confirmed as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Patel's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matt Gaetz is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Gaetz's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lori Chavez-DeRemer is confirmed as Labor Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Chavez-DeRemer's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brooke Rollins is confirmed as Agriculture Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rollins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe is confirmed as director of the CIA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Ratcliffe's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Huckabee is confirmed as the U.S. ambassador to Israel by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Huckabee's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elise Stefanik is confirmed as United Nations ambassador by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stefanik's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Zeldin is confirmed as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zeldin's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem is confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Noem’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Collins is confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Collins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sean Duffy is confirmed as Secretary of Transportation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Duffy's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Wright is confirmed as Secretary of Energy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Wright's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bondi's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent is confirmed as Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bessent's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Burgum is confirmed as Secretary of Interior by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Burgum's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Vought is confirmed as director of the Office of Management and Budget by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Vought's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio is confirmed as Secretary of State by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Rubio's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Turner is confirmed as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Turner's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,042,537
Data di fine
30 giu 2025
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2024, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

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"Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 22 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Pete Hegseth" a 100%, seguito da "Tulsi Gabbard" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" ha generato $23 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 18, 2024. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?", esplora i 22 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" è "Pete Hegseth" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tulsi Gabbard" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Which Trump picks will be confirmed?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.