FIFA officials and participating federations have repeatedly affirmed that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as drawn, following qualification through AFC pathways. Recent statements from FIFA President Infantino, Italian sports authorities rejecting any switch, and U.S. diplomatic assurances that Iranian players remain welcome have solidified expectations that no vacancy will arise. Geopolitical tensions tied to U.S. co-hosting prompted brief speculation about alternatives such as the UAE or Italy, yet these remain outside FIFA statutes governing withdrawals and have drawn swift pushback. Only an unprecedented official Iranian withdrawal before the tournament would trigger contingency measures, most likely an AFC playoff rather than an ad-hoc replacement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale squadra sostituirà l'Iran ai Mondiali?
Quale squadra sostituirà l'Iran ai Mondiali?
No Replacement 96.0%
Other 1.7%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.
31 ago 2026
No Replacement
96%
Other
2%
UAE
1%
Italy
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 96.0%
Other 1.7%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.
31 ago 2026
No Replacement
$18,228 Vol.
96%
Other
$4,982 Vol.
2%
UAE
$5,257 Vol.
1%
Italy
$28,168 Vol.
1%
Bolivia
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA officials and participating federations have repeatedly affirmed that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as drawn, following qualification through AFC pathways. Recent statements from FIFA President Infantino, Italian sports authorities rejecting any switch, and U.S. diplomatic assurances that Iranian players remain welcome have solidified expectations that no vacancy will arise. Geopolitical tensions tied to U.S. co-hosting prompted brief speculation about alternatives such as the UAE or Italy, yet these remain outside FIFA statutes governing withdrawals and have drawn swift pushback. Only an unprecedented official Iranian withdrawal before the tournament would trigger contingency measures, most likely an AFC playoff rather than an ad-hoc replacement.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volume
$59,283Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA officials and participating federations have repeatedly affirmed that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as drawn, following qualification through AFC pathways. Recent statements from FIFA President Infantino, Italian sports authorities rejecting any switch, and U.S. diplomatic assurances that Iranian players remain welcome have solidified expectations that no vacancy will arise. Geopolitical tensions tied to U.S. co-hosting prompted brief speculation about alternatives such as the UAE or Italy, yet these remain outside FIFA statutes governing withdrawals and have drawn swift pushback. Only an unprecedented official Iranian withdrawal before the tournament would trigger contingency measures, most likely an AFC playoff rather than an ad-hoc replacement.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$59,283Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA officials and participating federations have repeatedly affirmed that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup as drawn, following qualification through AFC pathways. Recent statements from FIFA President Infantino, Italian sports authorities rejecting any switch, and U.S. diplomatic assurances that Iranian players remain welcome have solidified expectations that no vacancy will arise. Geopolitical tensions tied to U.S. co-hosting prompted brief speculation about alternatives such as the UAE or Italy, yet these remain outside FIFA statutes governing withdrawals and have drawn swift pushback. Only an unprecedented official Iranian withdrawal before the tournament would trigger contingency measures, most likely an AFC playoff rather than an ad-hoc replacement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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