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icon for Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?
Tecnologia·AI

Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?

icon for Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?
Tecnologia·AI

Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?

ott 1

nov 1

ott 1

nov 1

Google 63%

ByteDance 11%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.5%

Meta 1.6%

Polymarket

$37,462 Vol.

Google 63%

ByteDance 11%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.5%

Meta 1.6%

Polymarket

$37,462 Vol.

icon for Google

Google

$25,229 Vol.

63%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$5,091 Vol.

11%

icon for Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

$777 Vol.

4%

icon for Meta

Meta

$507 Vol.

2%

icon for Pixverse

Pixverse

$431 Vol.

1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$466 Vol.

1%

icon for KlingAI

KlingAI

$583 Vol.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$499 Vol.

<1%

icon for Runway

Runway

$423 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pruna

Pruna

$356 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luma AI

Luma AI

$514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kandinsky

Kandinsky

$431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lightricks

Lightricks

$432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pika

Pika

$475 Vol.

<1%

icon for Genmo AI

Genmo AI

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$373 Vol.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$426 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's leading 63% implied probability stems from Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash's recent benchmark dominance in text-to-video prompt adherence, native audio generation, and overall preference scores on arenas like Artificial Analysis. These models, refined through 2025–early 2026 updates with improved physics, 4K support, and multimodal editing, outperform rivals in independent tests for cinematic quality and consistency. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 and Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 trail in market odds despite strong motion and realism results, while OpenAI's Sora 2 and others lag further behind. Traders appear to weigh Google's integration advantages and verified capabilities heavily ahead of the late-October cutoff, though competitive releases could still shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$37,462
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's leading 63% implied probability stems from Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash's recent benchmark dominance in text-to-video prompt adherence, native audio generation, and overall preference scores on arenas like Artificial Analysis. These models, refined through 2025–early 2026 updates with improved physics, 4K support, and multimodal editing, outperform rivals in independent tests for cinematic quality and consistency. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 and Kuaishou's Kling 3.0 trail in market odds despite strong motion and realism results, while OpenAI's Sora 2 and others lag further behind. Traders appear to weigh Google's integration advantages and verified capabilities heavily ahead of the late-October cutoff, though competitive releases could still shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$37,462
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Google avrà la migliore intelligenza artificiale per la generazione di video da testo alla fine di settembre 2026?

88%
Sì
icon for OpenAI avrà la migliore intelligenza artificiale per la generazione di immagini da testo alla fine di ottobre 2026?

OpenAI avrà la migliore intelligenza artificiale per la generazione di immagini da testo alla fine di ottobre 2026?

88%
Sì
icon for MiniMax avrà la migliore IA da immagine a video alla fine di ottobre 2026?

MiniMax avrà la migliore IA da immagine a video alla fine di ottobre 2026?

46%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Google" a 63%, seguito da "ByteDance" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 63¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?" ha generato $37.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 13, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?" è "Google" a 63%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "ByteDance" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di ottobre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.