Google's Gemini Omni Flash leads independent text-to-video leaderboards such as arena.ai and Artificial Analysis with top Elo scores in blind preference tests for models generating synchronized audio, reflecting recent capability gains in realism, multi-turn editing, and world knowledge integration. This positioning drives the market's 97.4% implied probability for Google, as traders weigh demonstrated benchmark performance over marketing claims from competitors like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 or MiniMax variants. Resolution hinges on the final August 31 leaderboard snapshot, so any late-month model update, new arena data release, or shift in evaluation criteria could narrow the gap if a rival posts stronger results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di agosto?
Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di agosto?
Google 97.4%
ByteDance 1.4%
MiniMax <1%
Lightricks <1%
$30,678 Vol.
$30,678 Vol.
31 ago 2026
97%
ByteDance
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Pixverse
<1%
Runway
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Pika
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
Google 97.4%
ByteDance 1.4%
MiniMax <1%
Lightricks <1%
$30,678 Vol.
$30,678 Vol.
31 ago 2026
$11,440 Vol.
97%
ByteDance
$6,246 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$1,683 Vol.
<1%
Lightricks
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$525 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$663 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$560 Vol.
<1%
Pixverse
$578 Vol.
<1%
Runway
$525 Vol.
<1%
KlingAI
$506 Vol.
<1%
Pruna
$534 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$708 Vol.
<1%
Kandinsky
$568 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$806 Vol.
<1%
Pika
$557 Vol.
<1%
Genmo AI
$2,329 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini Omni Flash leads independent text-to-video leaderboards such as arena.ai and Artificial Analysis with top Elo scores in blind preference tests for models generating synchronized audio, reflecting recent capability gains in realism, multi-turn editing, and world knowledge integration. This positioning drives the market's 97.4% implied probability for Google, as traders weigh demonstrated benchmark performance over marketing claims from competitors like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 or MiniMax variants. Resolution hinges on the final August 31 leaderboard snapshot, so any late-month model update, new arena data release, or shift in evaluation criteria could narrow the gap if a rival posts stronger results.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
Volume
$30,678Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini Omni Flash leads independent text-to-video leaderboards such as arena.ai and Artificial Analysis with top Elo scores in blind preference tests for models generating synchronized audio, reflecting recent capability gains in realism, multi-turn editing, and world knowledge integration. This positioning drives the market's 97.4% implied probability for Google, as traders weigh demonstrated benchmark performance over marketing claims from competitors like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 or MiniMax variants. Resolution hinges on the final August 31 leaderboard snapshot, so any late-month model update, new arena data release, or shift in evaluation criteria could narrow the gap if a rival posts stronger results.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$30,678Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini Omni Flash leads independent text-to-video leaderboards such as arena.ai and Artificial Analysis with top Elo scores in blind preference tests for models generating synchronized audio, reflecting recent capability gains in realism, multi-turn editing, and world knowledge integration. This positioning drives the market's 97.4% implied probability for Google, as traders weigh demonstrated benchmark performance over marketing claims from competitors like ByteDance's Seedance 2.5 or MiniMax variants. Resolution hinges on the final August 31 leaderboard snapshot, so any late-month model update, new arena data release, or shift in evaluation criteria could narrow the gap if a rival posts stronger results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
OpenAI avrà la migliore intelligenza artificiale per la generazione di immagini da testo alla fine di agosto 2026?
94%
Sì
Google avrà la migliore intelligenza artificiale per la generazione di video da testo alla fine di settembre 2026?
89%
Sì
OpenAI avrà la migliore IA di testo in immagine alla fine di settembre 2026?
83%
Sì
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