Traders assign Anthropic a 95.6% implied probability of leading the Text Arena Math benchmark at month-end because its Claude models have repeatedly posted the highest scores on rigorous math and reasoning evaluations in recent releases. Strong demonstrated capabilities in multi-step problem solving, code-assisted proofs, and low hallucination rates on quantitative tasks have solidified this positioning against competitors. The near-term window leaves little room for major shifts, yet a surprise model drop from OpenAI or Google with superior math-specific benchmarks, or an arena methodology change emphasizing new evaluation criteria, could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di IA Text Arena Math alla fine di agosto?
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di IA Text Arena Math alla fine di agosto?
Anthropic 95.6%
OpenAI 3.5%
Google 1.0%
Alibaba <1%
$91,043 Vol.
$91,043 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
96%
OpenAI
3%
1%
Alibaba
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 95.6%
OpenAI 3.5%
Google 1.0%
Alibaba <1%
$91,043 Vol.
$91,043 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
$31,592 Vol.
96%
OpenAI
$11,823 Vol.
3%
$18,846 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$9,611 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$4,432 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,148 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$372 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$372 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$494 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,125 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$553 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$451 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$495 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$372 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$564 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$531 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic a 95.6% implied probability of leading the Text Arena Math benchmark at month-end because its Claude models have repeatedly posted the highest scores on rigorous math and reasoning evaluations in recent releases. Strong demonstrated capabilities in multi-step problem solving, code-assisted proofs, and low hallucination rates on quantitative tasks have solidified this positioning against competitors. The near-term window leaves little room for major shifts, yet a surprise model drop from OpenAI or Google with superior math-specific benchmarks, or an arena methodology change emphasizing new evaluation criteria, could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
Volume
$91,043Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic a 95.6% implied probability of leading the Text Arena Math benchmark at month-end because its Claude models have repeatedly posted the highest scores on rigorous math and reasoning evaluations in recent releases. Strong demonstrated capabilities in multi-step problem solving, code-assisted proofs, and low hallucination rates on quantitative tasks have solidified this positioning against competitors. The near-term window leaves little room for major shifts, yet a surprise model drop from OpenAI or Google with superior math-specific benchmarks, or an arena methodology change emphasizing new evaluation criteria, could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$91,043Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Anthropic a 95.6% implied probability of leading the Text Arena Math benchmark at month-end because its Claude models have repeatedly posted the highest scores on rigorous math and reasoning evaluations in recent releases. Strong demonstrated capabilities in multi-step problem solving, code-assisted proofs, and low hallucination rates on quantitative tasks have solidified this positioning against competitors. The near-term window leaves little room for major shifts, yet a surprise model drop from OpenAI or Google with superior math-specific benchmarks, or an arena methodology change emphasizing new evaluation criteria, could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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