Recent Zillow data through July 2026 pegs the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 and median sale price at $1,175,427, levels that align closely with the dominant market-implied outcome below $1.176 million. Persistent inventory constraints, 17-day average days on market, and 20% price-cut rates signal steady but not accelerating demand amid elevated mortgage rates and selective AI-driven buyer activity. With resolution just two weeks away on September 30, traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility in the underlying index, consistent with modest year-over-year gains of 1-4% rather than sharp monthly shifts. Any final August or September releases could refine the exact reading, though current fundamentals support the strong consensus around the lower bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<$1,176M 84%
$1.176M - $1.198M 14.8%
$1,220M - $1,242M <1%
$1,198M - $1,220M <1%
$50,479 Vol.
$50,479 Vol.
<$1,176M
84%
$1.176M - $1.198M
15%
$1,198M - $1,220M
<1%
$1,220M - $1,242M
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
<1%
$1,264M - $1,284M
<1%
$1,284M+
<1%
<$1,176M 84%
$1.176M - $1.198M 14.8%
$1,220M - $1,242M <1%
$1,198M - $1,220M <1%
$50,479 Vol.
$50,479 Vol.
<$1,176M
84%
$1.176M - $1.198M
15%
$1,198M - $1,220M
<1%
$1,220M - $1,242M
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
<1%
$1,264M - $1,284M
<1%
$1,284M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow data through July 2026 pegs the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 and median sale price at $1,175,427, levels that align closely with the dominant market-implied outcome below $1.176 million. Persistent inventory constraints, 17-day average days on market, and 20% price-cut rates signal steady but not accelerating demand amid elevated mortgage rates and selective AI-driven buyer activity. With resolution just two weeks away on September 30, traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility in the underlying index, consistent with modest year-over-year gains of 1-4% rather than sharp monthly shifts. Any final August or September releases could refine the exact reading, though current fundamentals support the strong consensus around the lower bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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