Washington’s 3rd Congressional District holds a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, to select the general election nominees. Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez competes against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, who secured Trump’s endorsement and NRCC backing, plus Democratic challenger Brent Hennrich and several lower-profile candidates after the May 8 filing deadline. The district’s slight Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s three-point 2024 margin, combines with polling indicating Democratic vote fragmentation to shape positioning. Perez holds a substantial fundraising advantage, while no major campaign events or endorsements have altered the field since filing closed. Traders monitor consolidation trends among Democratic voters as the primary variable for who advances.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$42,374 Vol.
John Braun
94%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
73%
Brent Hennrich
19%
Antony Barran
22%
Lawrence Kellogg
7%
Eric Vaughan
4%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
3%
$42,374 Vol.
John Braun
94%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
73%
Brent Hennrich
19%
Antony Barran
22%
Lawrence Kellogg
7%
Eric Vaughan
4%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercato aperto: Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Washington’s 3rd Congressional District holds a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, to select the general election nominees. Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez competes against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, who secured Trump’s endorsement and NRCC backing, plus Democratic challenger Brent Hennrich and several lower-profile candidates after the May 8 filing deadline. The district’s slight Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s three-point 2024 margin, combines with polling indicating Democratic vote fragmentation to shape positioning. Perez holds a substantial fundraising advantage, while no major campaign events or endorsements have altered the field since filing closed. Traders monitor consolidation trends among Democratic voters as the primary variable for who advances.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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