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icon for VEO 4 rilasciato da...?

VEO 4 rilasciato da...?

icon for VEO 4 rilasciato da...?

VEO 4 rilasciato da...?

$43,748 Vol.

30 giu 2026
Polymarket

$43,748 Vol.

Polymarket

30 giugno

$0 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward Google DeepMind releasing Veo 4 by late June 2026, driven by intensifying leaks and anticipation ahead of Google I/O on May 19-20, where historical patterns suggest major AI unveilings like Veo 3 in 2025. No official announcement has materialized since Veo 3.1 Lite's April 3 rollout—a cost-optimized variant enhancing speed for text-to-video generation amid competitive pressure from Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3.0, which excel in motion consistency and longer clips post-OpenAI Sora's March shutdown. Rumored upgrades include native 4K output, 15-30 second videos, reference-based character consistency, and precise camera controls, potentially reshaping AI video workflows if confirmed publicly via open beta or API access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$43,748
Data di fine
31 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans toward Google DeepMind releasing Veo 4 by late June 2026, driven by intensifying leaks and anticipation ahead of Google I/O on May 19-20, where historical patterns suggest major AI unveilings like Veo 3 in 2025. No official announcement has materialized since Veo 3.1 Lite's April 3 rollout—a cost-optimized variant enhancing speed for text-to-video generation amid competitive pressure from Seedance 2.0 and Kling 3.0, which excel in motion consistency and longer clips post-OpenAI Sora's March shutdown. Rumored upgrades include native 4K output, 15-30 second videos, reference-based character consistency, and precise camera controls, potentially reshaping AI video workflows if confirmed publicly via open beta or API access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$43,748
Data di fine
31 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"VEO 4 rilasciato da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "30 giugno" a 42%, seguito da "31 gennaio" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "VEO 4 rilasciato da...?" ha generato $43.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "VEO 4 rilasciato da...?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "VEO 4 rilasciato da...?" è "30 giugno" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "31 gennaio" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "VEO 4 rilasciato da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.