**Ongoing geopolitical tensions, intensified US sanctions, and disruptions to Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on open markets.** By late August 2026, the street rate reached approximately 2.1 million rials per USD amid renewed US-Iran military exchanges, including strikes on August 30, a naval blockade, and halted crude shipments, which tightened hard-currency availability and amplified inflationary pressures exceeding 40 percent annually. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 2.1-2.2 million range as the prevailing end-of-August outcome, reflecting real-money assessments of these persistent supply constraints and eroded confidence. A credible shift away from this band would require rapid de-escalation, major sanctions relief, or successful central bank stabilization measures that restore meaningful access to export revenues within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2,1-2,2M 100.0%
<1,7M <1%
1,7-1,8M <1%
1,8-1,9M <1%
$201,076 Vol.
$201,076 Vol.
<1,7M
No
1,7-1,8M
No
1,8-1,9M
No
1,9-2,0M
No
2,0-2,1M
No
2,1-2,2M
Sì
2,2M+
No
2,1-2,2M 100.0%
<1,7M <1%
1,7-1,8M <1%
1,8-1,9M <1%
$201,076 Vol.
$201,076 Vol.
<1,7M
No
1,7-1,8M
No
1,8-1,9M
No
1,9-2,0M
No
2,0-2,1M
No
2,1-2,2M
Sì
2,2M+
No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Ongoing geopolitical tensions, intensified US sanctions, and disruptions to Iran's oil exports and foreign currency inflows have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial on open markets.** By late August 2026, the street rate reached approximately 2.1 million rials per USD amid renewed US-Iran military exchanges, including strikes on August 30, a naval blockade, and halted crude shipments, which tightened hard-currency availability and amplified inflationary pressures exceeding 40 percent annually. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 2.1-2.2 million range as the prevailing end-of-August outcome, reflecting real-money assessments of these persistent supply constraints and eroded confidence. A credible shift away from this band would require rapid de-escalation, major sanctions relief, or successful central bank stabilization measures that restore meaningful access to export revenues within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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