Trump’s administration reached a US-Yemen ceasefire in 2025 after earlier strikes and has since focused military resources on operations against Iran, with no formal invocation of war powers or authorization of new hostilities specifically targeting Yemen recorded by the September 30, 2026 deadline. Congressional Democrats have repeatedly introduced Yemen War Powers resolutions to restrict support for Saudi-led actions against the Houthis, while the White House has emphasized existing authorities and avoided new notifications that would trigger statutory clocks. The near-certain trader consensus for “No” reflects the absence of any qualifying executive action or congressional notification within the resolution window. Late developments, such as responses to Houthi attacks on Saudi targets or shifts in the Iran conflict, could still prompt future involvement but fall outside the market’s cutoff.