Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38,0–38,4 99.6%
<37,0 <1%
37,0–37,4 <1%
37,5–37,9 <1%
$6,074 Vol.
$6,074 Vol.
<37,0
No
37,0–37,4
No
37,5–37,9
No
38,0–38,4
Sì
38,5–38,9
No
39,0+
No
38,0–38,4 99.6%
<37,0 <1%
37,0–37,4 <1%
37,5–37,9 <1%
$6,074 Vol.
$6,074 Vol.
<37,0
No
37,0–37,4
No
37,5–37,9
No
38,0–38,4
Sì
38,5–38,9
No
39,0+
No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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