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The Thiel Parlay

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The Thiel Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022:

1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election
2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election
3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate
4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true.

-----------------------------------------------------

Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off.

Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party.

Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to.

Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.
Volume
$27,218
Data di fine
8 nov 2022
Mercato aperto
Nov 3, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022:

1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election
2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election
3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate
4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true.

-----------------------------------------------------

Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off.

Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party.

Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to.

Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.
Volume
$27,218
Data di fine
8 nov 2022
Mercato aperto
Nov 3, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

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Domande frequenti

"The Thiel Parlay" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "The Thiel Parlay" ha generato $27.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 4, 2022. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "The Thiel Parlay", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "The Thiel Parlay" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "The Thiel Parlay" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.