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icon for Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo
Politica·Elezione

Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo

icon for Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo
Politica·Elezione

Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo

Vittoria schiacciante dei repubblicani 36%

Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato 35%

Vittoria totale dei Dem 31%

I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato 1.9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria schiacciante dei repubblicani 36%

Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato 35%

Vittoria totale dei Dem 31%

I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato 1.9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Vittoria schiacciante dei repubblicani

$1,008 Vol.

36%

Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato

$1,912 Vol.

35%

Vittoria totale dei Dem

$573 Vol.

31%

I Dem vincono Governatore, i Rep vincono Senato

$331 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Texas voters will decide the governorship and U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, with incumbent Republican Greg Abbott facing Democrat Gina Hinojosa and Republican Ken Paxton facing Democrat James Talarico in the open Senate contest. Recent polling averages show Abbott holding a modest lead in the gubernatorial race, supporting higher implied probabilities for Republican retention there, while the Senate contest remains tightly contested with Talarico often edging or tying Paxton. These patterns help explain elevated trader pricing on split outcomes such as a Republican governor paired with a Democratic senator, alongside the sizable allocation to “Other” reflecting uncertainty over the precise combination. The Republican primary defeat of incumbent Senator John Cornyn by Paxton and Democratic primary consolidation behind Talarico have shaped the current field without altering the underlying competitiveness of the Senate matchup.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$3,824
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Texas voters will decide the governorship and U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, with incumbent Republican Greg Abbott facing Democrat Gina Hinojosa and Republican Ken Paxton facing Democrat James Talarico in the open Senate contest. Recent polling averages show Abbott holding a modest lead in the gubernatorial race, supporting higher implied probabilities for Republican retention there, while the Senate contest remains tightly contested with Talarico often edging or tying Paxton. These patterns help explain elevated trader pricing on split outcomes such as a Republican governor paired with a Democratic senator, alongside the sizable allocation to “Other” reflecting uncertainty over the precise combination. The Republican primary defeat of incumbent Senator John Cornyn by Paxton and Democratic primary consolidation behind Talarico have shaped the current field without altering the underlying competitiveness of the Senate matchup.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$3,824
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Minnesota?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Minnesota?

89%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

I Democratici vinceranno a valanga le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore dell'Alaska?

49%
Sì
icon for I repubblicani conquisteranno tutte le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Kansas?

I repubblicani conquisteranno tutte le elezioni per il Senato e il Governatore del Kansas?

62%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Vittoria schiacciante dei repubblicani" a 36%, seguito da "Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato" a 35%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 36¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo" è "Vittoria schiacciante dei repubblicani" a 36%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Repubblicani vincono Governatore, Democratici vincono Senato" a 35%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Senato del Texas e Governatore Combo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.