Republican state Sen. Mayes Middleton holds a clear edge in the November 3, 2026, Texas attorney general race, reflecting the state's partisan leanings after Ken Paxton opted not to seek re-election. Middleton secured the GOP nomination by defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May runoff, campaigning as a strong Trump ally focused on border enforcement, abortion restrictions, and expanded state prosecutorial authority. Democratic state Sen. Nathan Johnson won his party's nomination and has emphasized a return to core legal functions while criticizing the prior administration's approach. Recent polling shows Middleton ahead by a few points with many voters undecided, consistent with trader consensus on the outcome. The Libertarian candidate and any other minor options trail significantly.