Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto? (Colpi superiori)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto? (Colpi superiori)
<900m 100.0%
900 - 920m <1%
920 - 940m <1%
940 - 960m <1%
$571,225 Vol.
$571,225 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<900m
Yes
900 - 920m
No
920 - 940m
No
940 - 960m
No
960 - 980m
No
980 - 1000m
No
1000 - 1020m
No
1020 - 1040m
No
1040 - 1060m
No
1060 - 1080m
No
1080m+
No
<900m 100.0%
900 - 920m <1%
920 - 940m <1%
940 - 960m <1%
$571,225 Vol.
$571,225 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<900m
$140,677 Vol.
Yes
900 - 920m
$120,456 Vol.
No
920 - 940m
$44,809 Vol.
No
940 - 960m
$29,584 Vol.
No
960 - 980m
$20,264 Vol.
No
980 - 1000m
$8,360 Vol.
No
1000 - 1020m
$3,789 Vol.
No
1020 - 1040m
$1,764 Vol.
No
1040 - 1060m
$837 Vol.
No
1060 - 1080m
$873 Vol.
No
1080m+
$199,810 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$571,225Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$571,225Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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