**Strong opening performance and rapid early gross have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for an 800–900 million domestic finish by August 31, which traders currently imply at 82%.** Released July 31, 2026, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry opened to a record $355–360 million domestic weekend and crossed $700 million domestically in record time, reaching roughly $704.5 million by mid-August while already surpassing $1.8 billion worldwide. This pace reflects robust audience demand, favorable critical and audience reception (IMDb ~8.1), and a summer release window with limited direct competition. With two-plus weeks of playtime remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the film’s current trajectory points to continued strong legs that should comfortably land it in the 800–900 million range. The 18% chance assigned to 900 million-plus accounts for the possibility of exceptional holdover performance or positive word-of-mouth surges, while sub-700 million outcomes carry negligible implied probability given the film’s already substantial total and established momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
800 - 900 milioni 82%
900 mln+ 18.3%
<400 mln <1%
400 - 500 milioni <1%
$1,088,931 Vol.
$1,088,931 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
<1%
800 - 900 milioni
82%
900 mln+
18%
800 - 900 milioni 82%
900 mln+ 18.3%
<400 mln <1%
400 - 500 milioni <1%
$1,088,931 Vol.
$1,088,931 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
$16,819 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
$31,614 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
$27,433 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
$42,203 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
$102,012 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900 milioni
$228,091 Vol.
82%
900 mln+
$640,760 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening performance and rapid early gross have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for an 800–900 million domestic finish by August 31, which traders currently imply at 82%.**
Released July 31, 2026, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry opened to a record $355–360 million domestic weekend and crossed $700 million domestically in record time, reaching roughly $704.5 million by mid-August while already surpassing $1.8 billion worldwide. This pace reflects robust audience demand, favorable critical and audience reception (IMDb ~8.1), and a summer release window with limited direct competition. With two-plus weeks of playtime remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the film’s current trajectory points to continued strong legs that should comfortably land it in the 800–900 million range. The 18% chance assigned to 900 million-plus accounts for the possibility of exceptional holdover performance or positive word-of-mouth surges, while sub-700 million outcomes carry negligible implied probability given the film’s already substantial total and established momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,088,931Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening performance and rapid early gross have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for an 800–900 million domestic finish by August 31, which traders currently imply at 82%.**
Released July 31, 2026, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry opened to a record $355–360 million domestic weekend and crossed $700 million domestically in record time, reaching roughly $704.5 million by mid-August while already surpassing $1.8 billion worldwide. This pace reflects robust audience demand, favorable critical and audience reception (IMDb ~8.1), and a summer release window with limited direct competition. With two-plus weeks of playtime remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the film’s current trajectory points to continued strong legs that should comfortably land it in the 800–900 million range. The 18% chance assigned to 900 million-plus accounts for the possibility of exceptional holdover performance or positive word-of-mouth surges, while sub-700 million outcomes carry negligible implied probability given the film’s already substantial total and established momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,088,931Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong opening performance and rapid early gross have positioned "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for an 800–900 million domestic finish by August 31, which traders currently imply at 82%.** Released July 31, 2026, the Tom Holland-led MCU entry opened to a record $355–360 million domestic weekend and crossed $700 million domestically in record time, reaching roughly $704.5 million by mid-August while already surpassing $1.8 billion worldwide. This pace reflects robust audience demand, favorable critical and audience reception (IMDb ~8.1), and a summer release window with limited direct competition. With two-plus weeks of playtime remaining before the August 31 cutoff, the film’s current trajectory points to continued strong legs that should comfortably land it in the 800–900 million range. The 18% chance assigned to 900 million-plus accounts for the possibility of exceptional holdover performance or positive word-of-mouth surges, while sub-700 million outcomes carry negligible implied probability given the film’s already substantial total and established momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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