Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in South Dakota’s Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat because of her prior role as USDA Rural Development state director and early organizational backing within the state party. Billy Mawhiney withdrew in February, leaving only Scott Schlagel as a nominal challenger with minimal visibility or resources. Traders price Gronli above 96 percent because the June 2 primary is low-turnout and favors the candidate with the strongest fundraising and institutional ties. Late qualifying filings or unexpected health events could still shift the outcome before ballots close, though no such developments have emerged in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle primarie democratiche SD-AL
Nikki Gronli 96.8%
Billy Mawhiney 2.3%
Scott Schlagel 2.3%
$11,435 Vol.
$11,435 Vol.
Nikki Gronli
97%
Billy Mawhiney
2%
Scott Schlagel
2%
Nikki Gronli 96.8%
Billy Mawhiney 2.3%
Scott Schlagel 2.3%
$11,435 Vol.
$11,435 Vol.
Nikki Gronli
97%
Billy Mawhiney
2%
Scott Schlagel
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nikki Gronli holds a commanding lead in South Dakota’s Democratic primary for the at-large U.S. House seat because of her prior role as USDA Rural Development state director and early organizational backing within the state party. Billy Mawhiney withdrew in February, leaving only Scott Schlagel as a nominal challenger with minimal visibility or resources. Traders price Gronli above 96 percent because the June 2 primary is low-turnout and favors the candidate with the strongest fundraising and institutional ties. Late qualifying filings or unexpected health events could still shift the outcome before ballots close, though no such developments have emerged in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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