The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s 2025 executive order. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate rehearing petition, yet the July 27 filing deadline passed without any submission on the Court’s docket. With no petition pending and the Court’s rules requiring such a request for rehearing consideration, the probability of a grant by year-end remains low. Traders have priced this procedural reality into the market, where a “No” outcome reflects the absence of any pending vehicle for review. Recent narrower executive actions addressing recognized historical exceptions further indicate the administration is pursuing alternative policy routes rather than revisiting the ruling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
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31 dic 2026
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The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s 2025 executive order. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate rehearing petition, yet the July 27 filing deadline passed without any submission on the Court’s docket. With no petition pending and the Court’s rules requiring such a request for rehearing consideration, the probability of a grant by year-end remains low. Traders have priced this procedural reality into the market, where a “No” outcome reflects the absence of any pending vehicle for review. Recent narrower executive actions addressing recognized historical exceptions further indicate the administration is pursuing alternative policy routes rather than revisiting the ruling.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,331Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s 2025 executive order. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate rehearing petition, yet the July 27 filing deadline passed without any submission on the Court’s docket. With no petition pending and the Court’s rules requiring such a request for rehearing consideration, the probability of a grant by year-end remains low. Traders have priced this procedural reality into the market, where a “No” outcome reflects the absence of any pending vehicle for review. Recent narrower executive actions addressing recognized historical exceptions further indicate the administration is pursuing alternative policy routes rather than revisiting the ruling.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,331Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s 2025 executive order. President Trump publicly vowed an immediate rehearing petition, yet the July 27 filing deadline passed without any submission on the Court’s docket. With no petition pending and the Court’s rules requiring such a request for rehearing consideration, the probability of a grant by year-end remains low. Traders have priced this procedural reality into the market, where a “No” outcome reflects the absence of any pending vehicle for review. Recent narrower executive actions addressing recognized historical exceptions further indicate the administration is pursuing alternative policy routes rather than revisiting the ruling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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