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Politica·Trump

Presidential Election Winner 2024

icon for Presidential Election Winner 2024
Politica·Trump

Presidential Election Winner 2024

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

Polymarket

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$1,531,479,285 Vol.

Yes

icon for Joe Biden

Joe Biden

$72,176,112 Vol.

No

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$107,529,158 Vol.

No

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$54,161,276 Vol.

No

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$141,605,111 Vol.

No

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$46,309,049 Vol.

No

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$21,181,731 Vol.

No

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$1,037,039,118 Vol.

No

icon for Chris Christie

Chris Christie

$14,192,736 Vol.

No

icon for Elizabeth Warren

Elizabeth Warren

$14,714,814 Vol.

No

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$9,829,356 Vol.

No

icon for AOC

AOC

$22,011,561 Vol.

No

icon for Other Democrat Politician

Other Democrat Politician

$116,558,196 Vol.

No

icon for Other Republican Politician

Other Republican Politician

$241,655,100 Vol.

No

icon for Kanye

Kanye

$9,203,012 Vol.

No

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$153,382,276 Vol.

No

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$93,307,168 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$3,686,335,059
Data di fine
5 nov 2024
Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2024, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$3,686,335,059
Data di fine
5 nov 2024
Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2024, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Presidential Election Winner 2024" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Donald Trump" a 100%, seguito da "Joe Biden" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Presidential Election Winner 2024" ha generato $3.7 billion in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 4, 2024. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Presidential Election Winner 2024", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Presidential Election Winner 2024" è "Donald Trump" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Joe Biden" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Presidential Election Winner 2024" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.