Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoParis Mayoral Election
Paris Mayoral Election
Emmanuel Grégoire 100.0%
Rachida Dati <1%
Pierre-Yves Bournazel <1%
David Belliard <1%
$6 Vol.
$6 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Rachida Dati
No
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
No
David Belliard
No
Sophia Chikirou
No
Thierry Mariani
No
Sarah Knafo
No
Emmanuel Grégoire
Yes
Emmanuel Grégoire 100.0%
Rachida Dati <1%
Pierre-Yves Bournazel <1%
David Belliard <1%
$6 Vol.
$6 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Rachida Dati
$0 Vol.
No
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
$0 Vol.
No
David Belliard
$0 Vol.
No
Sophia Chikirou
$0 Vol.
No
Thierry Mariani
$0 Vol.
No
Sarah Knafo
$0 Vol.
No
Emmanuel Grégoire
$0 Vol.
Yes
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$6Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$6Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 22, 2025, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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